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SCORECARD FOR FORECAST 2013 BOOK
Written by Raymond Merriman   

How did MMA do in its annual publication of “Forecast 2013?” Not bad! Below is the scorecard so far:


•    Grain Markets: “Look for all grains to top out before May 1, 2013. Corn and Soybeans may have already topped out in August-September 2012. Look for all grains to decline into an intermediate-term cycle trough during the growing season of 2013, perhaps lasting into early 2014… Overall, weather and temperature appear to be ideal for growing conditions in the spring and summer of 2013, and thus I expect a bumper crop. Farmers are advised to hedge, and lock in high prices for the 2013 harvest.” The growing condition for grains was ideal and grain prices fell sharply in the summer of 2013…. Corn and Soybeans did indeed top out in September 2012 (Corn at 843 and Soybeans at 1794). As of this writing, there are making new contract lows for the year, with new crop Corn making its lowest price in three years (testing 450), and new crop Soybeans below 1165.


•    Treasury Notes (10-Year): “The study of cycles suggests that Treasury prices could decline into the 6-, 3-, and 2-year cycle troughs due January-July 2013. The price target of this decline is most likely somewhere between 116 and 128, with much support around 123/00 +/- 3/00. The 6-year cycle could actually expand into early 2014, as more challenging geocosmic signatures also arise in connection with the Federal Reserve Board chart after October 2013 and through early 2014… it appears that there will be a low in the first half of the year, followed by a healthy rally prior to November 2013, followed by another decline into late 2013 or early 2014.” After posting a yearly high of 133/25 on May 1, T-notes fell sharply to a yearly low (as of this writing) of 124/11 on July 8, which was just one day after the July 1-7 critical reversal date given in the book for T-Notes.


•    The Dow Jones Industrial Average: “Conclusions: Our cycle and geocosmic studies point to a long-term 4- and 6-year cycle crest in the U.S. stock market anytime by July 2013… A sudden surge to a new all-time high in 2013 cannot be ruled out if Congress and the White House are successful in this challenge. If so, the most likely time for that seems to be April through July 2013, based on the transit of Jupiter through 14-24º Gemini (it could have a slightly wide orb to extend out to 4º Cancer).” This forecast appears to be just slightly off with regards to the USA stock market, but as of this writing, it is still valid for the rest of the world. The DJIA made a new all-time high on August 2, just past July. However, most of the other world markets made their multi-year high on May 20-23, 2013. Let’s see if they hold and this turns out to be an accurate forecast after all.


•    Gold: “… we cannot rule out the possibility of a 4.25-year half-cycle trough to the 8.5-year cycle until Gold closes above 1810. If there is to be a 4.25-year cycle trough, the price target would be 867-1365. Another possible price target is 1124 +/- 48…. If it is going to unfold in a two-phase pattern, there is still a chance that Gold could fall well below 1500 (say 1100-1450) within 9 months of January 2013… However, there is also a chance that the low could unfold in June-September 2013, or within a month of when Jupiter forms a trine to Neptune and opposition to Pluto (July-August).” As of August 2013, the low in Gold has been 1179.40 on June 28.


•    Silver: “Silver’s 4.34-year cycle low was either completed at 2607 on June 28, 2012, or is still unfolding and due within three months of June 2013… failure to get above 3544 means that the 4.34 cycle may still be unfolding, and due no later than September 2013, with a price target down to 2199 +/- 318.” The low as of August 2013 has been 1817 on June 2, so it has already exceeded our downside price target slightly, but remained within the time band given for a long-term cycle low.


•    Real Estate Market: “The nature of Jupiter is to expand and grow according to the principles of the sign it is in. Cancer rules the home and family, and so a surge in new home buildings and/or sales would naturally be expected.” Both home building and home prices made dramatic gains in 2013.


•    Home prices: “Thus our first advice to long-term investors is this: be prepared to invest in real estate in the USA in 2013, even before Jupiter moves into Cancer (June 26, 2013 and lasting through July 16, 2014), and within nine months of June-July 2013. I expect the bottom is in, or will be shortly, and by the time Jupiter is well into Cancer, housing prices will be rising.” Home prices rose dramatically by June 2013, far more than most predicted.


•    Scandals of the Obama Administration in 2013: “Neptune will soon leave the harmonious and supportive trine to his (Obama’s) natal Venus starting in February 2013. It will then begin a long square to his natal Moon, conjunct his natal Chiron, and in opposition to his natal Pluto. This T-square will be in force from late February 2013 through February 2015. It is a very troubling pattern, indicating the potential for a scandal.” A series of scandals for Obama’s team began immediately after February 2013, as forecasted.


•    The Federal Reserve Board continues its near-term zero interest rate policies: “By the looks of these transits, I see no indication that the FED’s policies will be changing in 2013. If they do, it would most likely be at the very end of the year.” In May, The FED had to reaffirm that it will maintain its zero-interest policies when the market become spooked that it would start raising them by the end of the year.


•    World Leaders: “One country that may be very much involved in this time of political instability and military conflict is Iran, whose current form of government was birthed April 2, 1979. In its birth chart, you will see that its Sun (leadership) is 11-12º of Aries. Uranus will conjunct it. Iran’s current leadership may topple in 2013-2014.” Iran’s leadership under Ahmandinejad came to an end in July 2013.


•    Real Estate Market: “The nature of Jupiter is to expand and grow according to the principles of the sign it is in. Cancer rules the home and family, and so a surge in new home buildings and/or sales would naturally be expected.” Both home building and home prices made dramatic gains in 2013.


•    Home prices: “Thus our first advice to long-term investors is this: be prepared to invest in real estate in the USA in 2013, even before Jupiter moves into Cancer (June 26, 2013 and lasting through July 16, 2014), and within nine months of June-July 2013. I expect the bottom is in, or will be shortly, and by the time Jupiter is well into Cancer, housing prices will be rising.” Home prices rose dramatically by June 2013, far more than most predicted.


•    U.S. Military: “For the future, Mars retrograde suggests a continuation of military withdrawal on the part of the United States until 2087. It is logical to assume – on the basis of this astrological progression – that the status of the USA as the strongest military nation in the world, will diminish over the next several years… The USA is moving in a direction to reform its image as a military superpower to one of a world leader in the movement towards peace and diplomacy.”


•    Record Treasury Revenues in USA: “First of all, let us consider the grand trine of transiting Jupiter, Saturn, and Neptune that takes place in July 2013 in 4-5º of water signs. That grand trine will involve the USA Venus-Jupiter conjunction at 2-6º Cancer. That is where transiting Jupiter will pass. Natal Venus and Jupiter pertain to the wealth and financial security of the country. Thus it suggests a time when the USA may be able to turn the corner on its debt and begin a period of growth and prosperity. The economy and the employment data suggest a nation on the rise. Revenues may be increasing sharply, perhaps to record levels… The image that comes to mind here is that the USA receives wonderful news about its tax revenues by mid-2013. They are at new all-time highs. The revenue side of the debt equation has improved dramatically. But unfortunately, this has led to a false confidence and/or analysis, for the decision has also been made to increase the spending side of the equation. Revenue has increased, but spending also increases dramatically too,” In June 2013, the U.S. Treasury announced a record in tax and revenue receipts. The news coincided with a dramatic lessening of the projected government deficit. However, it may be a one-time phenomenon due to increased taxes that went into effect, for the government then announced its intention to drop any austerity measures to deal with the continuing debt, and instead outlined an intention to step up government spending.

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