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Comments for the Week Beginning April 12, 2010
Written by Raymond Merriman   

The Long-Term Cycles

My view is that the 72-year cycle and its 36-year half-cycle bottomed March 6-10, 2009. That was the 77th year of the 72-year cycle, which has a range of 60-84 years, although historically all have been between 73-75 years before this one. It was also the 35th year in the 36-year cycle, which is very close to perfect. However, I don’t think it was the 90-year cycle, and its 45-year half-cycle.

 Historically we note that the long-term cycle troughs in British and U.S. stock markets occur when Pluto is in a cardinal sign. We also note that these lows have always been followed by a secondary low 6-22 years later, and it is possible the second low is lower than the first. As discussed in “The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 2, Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles,” this happened in the first instance of the 72- and 90-year cycles. The first leg down was in 1762, just after Pluto entered Capricorn the last time around (its orbital cycle is about 248 years). Note that Pluto next entered Capricorn in January 2008. After a healthy 3-5 year rally that saw prices testing its highs of the previous 30 years, the British stock market fell to an even lower low on a secondary bottom in 1784 as Pluto moved into 11 degrees of Aquarius. The next major collapse occurred when the U.S. stock market fell 80% from its then all-time high of 1834-35 (as Saturn and Pluto were in opposition) to its 90-year cycle trough (80 years later) in February 1842 (1762-1842). Pluto was in 19 degrees of Aries, the next cardinal sign. Once again the market rallied, for nearly 10 years to re-test its all-time high again in 1852, before falling to its secondary bottom and 72-year cycle trough in October 1857. Pluto was in 6 degrees of Taurus on this secondary low. It did not take out the low of 1842, but it was close. Once again, a long-term bull market followed, culminating in another new all-time high in September 1929. And then the stock market crashed as prices fell 90% into the Great Depression low of July 1932 when Pluto was in 21 degrees of Cancer, the next cardinal sign. This was both the 90 and 72-year cycle troughs, measured from the lows of 1842 and 1857 respectively. The DJIA rallied over 380% the next five years, but then fell to its secondary bottom in 1938, just six years after the low of 1932. Pluto was still in late Cancer at the time.

 So what can we learn from this history? First, as already mentioned, a 72- or 90-year cycle has unfolded when Pluto was in cardinal signs. It just so happens that Saturn was in cardinal signs too (or just passed), while Uranus was at the end or beginning of the zodiac (Pisces-Aries). A secondary low tends to form 6-22 years later, but this secondary low has been occurring progressively sooner throughout history. First it was 22 years later, then 15, then 6. The progression implies the next secondary low may be less than 6 years. In between these lows, the market rallies substantially, often testing the previous all-time high.

 Now let’s look at the current market. I believe a 72-year cycle trough occurred March 2009. At the time, Pluto was in early Capricorn, a cardinal sign, just as it was in 1762. Uranus was in 22 degrees of Pisces on March 6, 2009, in the early part of a sector where it has always been at these long-term cycle lows (23 Pisces to 23 Aries). But Saturn was only 18 degrees of Virgo, not yet in a cardinal sign which marked the devastating declines of the past. Saturn is, however, in the cardinal sign of Libra now (October 29, 2009-October 5, 2012, with the exception of April 7-July 21, 2010 when it retrogrades back into Virgo). It will also be in the cardinal sign of Capricorn, December 2017-December 2020, while Pluto is still there too. One of these two periods could coincide with the end of another sharp decline in U.S. stock prices, in my opinion, that will qualify as the secondary low to the 72-year cycle of March 2009. In the meantime, U.S. and world stock indices could re-test or even make a new all-time high.

 Another reason why I believe there is yet to be another sharp sell-off in world stock markets is because the 45-year half-cycle to the 90-year cycle did not likely occur in March 2009. This half-cycle is ideally due 45-years after its last occurrence in 1974, which would be 2019 +/- 8 years. It seems most likely to happen when Saturn goes into Capricorn (December 2017-2020), for that will also coincide with the Saturn-Pluto conjunction, which marks the end of the 32-37-year economic “down” cycle. Saturn and Pluto will then enter their waxing phase, when economies tend to begin a more prosperous cycle for the next 16-20 years.

 But what also concerns me along the way is the seven-passage series of the Uranus-Pluto waxing square of June 24, 2012 through March 17, 2015. The last time these two planets squared one another was in their waning phase of 1932-1934. The time before that was a waxing phase (just like 2012-2015), from 1876-1877, right in the midst of the longest economic depression in U.S. history, lasting 1873-1879. What is also interesting about that period is that it was the only time in stock market history when Jupiter and Uranus were in conjunction to one another and both in opposition to Saturn. This happens June 2010 through the first quarter of 2011. It also happened around the middle of 1872, just before that 6-year Great Depression. Curiously, the stock market was making new all-time highs then, and continued to make slightly higher all-time highs even into early 1874, even as the longest Depression in U.S. history was unfolding. Does this sound familiar? The stock market was soaring, but the economy was falling, and about to fall real hard for the next several years. The stock market finally succumbed and fell hard too, from a double top all-time high in 1873-74, to an 18-year cycle trough at the bottom of the Depression in 1877, right in the central time band of the Uranus-Pluto waxing square, the same type of configuration we are undergoing right now. That is, in 2010, Saturn is in opposition to the Jupiter-Uranus conjunction, just as it was in 1872. The stock market is flying but the economy is still ridden with serious world-wide debt issues that have not been settled. In fact, the debt issues and spending are exploding, when they need to be reduced. The stock market, however, can stay in this “bubble” for some time, perhaps until the Uranus-Pluto waxing square begins in 2012. And then watch out. Just as we witnessed in 1876-1877, another collapse could commence in 2012-2015, and maybe not even complete its bottoming process until the Saturn-Pluto conjunction of January 2020, +/- 18 months.

 However, before Uranus and Pluto start their square, there may be considerable money to be made in the stock market. For after all, Jupiter will be in Aries through the first half of 2011, and this is a bullish sector of the zodiac for this planet. And it will conjunct Uranus, which is a sign of excessive speculation., Savers will likely move their monies from money markets and bank savings account, which now pay less than 1% rate of return, to the stock market, which has been yielding 70+% returns, with a possibility of much higher to come in the  next year. And then the guillotine falls, and savers won’t exit in time. They will be devastated, and the government will try to rescue them by applying more and more restrictions, regulations, fines, and penalties on the evil banking and stock market community. It’s all happened before. And although it seems like everything is changing and different, it’s all the same. We don’t learn from history because we don’t value the study of cycles, and thus we continually repeat the same mistakes under the same cycles time and time again.  By the way, the last time Jupiter and Uranus were conjunct in Aries was….July 15, 1927 through January 25, 1928. It was in “lift-off” mode, and the bubble persisted into September 1929. That would equate to September 2012 in today’s terms.

 

Announcements




The “Forecast 2012” webcast will take place on Sunday, February 19, starting at 1:00 PM EST (that’s 6:00 PM GMT or 10:00 AM PST). Via the modern technology of our webinar host, you can log onto this presentation on current markets (both long-term and short-term outlooks) and the political-psychological climate for 2012, in the comfort of your home or office. All you need is a computer with speakers. You can hear the speech and see the live presentation and slide show, complete with the charts as they are being discussed, on your computer screen. The cost for this special event is $45.00. If you are interested in being part of this unique live webcast, just register at the MMA Website (www.mmacycles.com) and scroll down the opening screen for the announcement. Or drop us an email (ordersmma@msn.com) or fax (248-538-5296), or call us at 1-248-626-3034. Instructions to log into this event will be sent upon making reservations. Reserve early (before February 17), for space will be limited.

Many of you have asked about DVD’s or CD’s on the “Forecast 2012 Mini-Congress on January 21 in Amsterdam that I participated in. On the program were also three other excellent speakers on the subject: Irma Schogt of Schogt Market Timing in Amsterdam, plus world renowned astrologer Katen Hammaker-Zondag (specialist in the future of the Euro zone and Euro currency) and Antonia Langsdorf, of Cologne, Germany, who wrote “The Eye of the Storm,” a best-selling rendition about the year 2012 from the point of view of Mayan schools and astrologers. These recording will soon be available through Irma Schogt. We will announce when they will be available, probably within the week. You check in with us next week, or contact Irma directly at www.markettiming.nl.

 

If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with position trading and aggressive trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF’s (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers: “I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000 (now $850,000).  Thanks for your excellent publications.” - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.


Copies of the printed version of Forecast 2012 are still available. There will be no additional printings, so when they are gone, they are gone. This year’s book is 200 pages – our largest ever – and packed full of information about the economy, USA Presidential election, social and economic trends, and of course, financial markets with their all-important three-star critical reversal dates (the one and two-star reversal dates are covered in the MMA Cycles Report, as well as weekly reports). For further information, please go to the front page of our web site at www.mmacycles.com, Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

The E-Book version of the Forecast 2012 Book is now out as well in two different formats. The first is our own version, which contains both the text and the calendar-ephemeris for 2012. The cost for this is $55.00, or $35.00, depending on whether you also ordered the printed version too.  The second is through Apple iTunes, which covers iPhone 4 and 4S, and the iPad, and also Amazon.com Kindle. The cost is $39.99. It does not contain the advertisements or the planetary calendar and ephemeris in the back. You can now order it if you have an email address registered via one of these 9 countries (USA, UK, Australia, France, Canada, Italy, Portugal, Slovenia, and Spain). Just go to iTunes, and then “Library,” then “Store,” then in the field titled “Search,” type in “Forecast 2012” or “Raymond Merriman” (without quotation marks). Or, go to http://itunes.apple.com/us/artist/raymond-merriman/id408289861?mt=11.

“After reading the annual Forecasts and subscribing to MMA Cycles for the past ten years, I can say that Ray Merriman's forecasts are uncannily accurate and indispensable for the preservation of wealth. Nothing else I've seen compares. It is without a doubt the best perspective on the big picture, not just bits and pieces of the picture.”
W.W., Investor and Teacher, Indiana.


Our new 2012 MMA Catalogue is now out!! You can download this catalogue directly at http://www.mmacycles.com/index.php?option=com_docman&task=cat_view&gid=41&Itemid=63.

Events:

February 19, 2012: “Forecast 2012 Worldwide Webcast!!!” This is our annual speech to viewers the world over. It will be the latest update on Raymond Merriman’s annual Forecast Book. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this speech will focus on the current state of the economy, political situation in Washington, DC, and in particular, the financial markets, including: the U.S. stock market, interest rates, the U.S. Dollar, Gold, and Silver. This will be a telecast of the live presentation taking place at the Michigan Education Conference Center in Troy, Michigan on Square Lake Road. The webcast and speech will start at 1:00 PM, EST and last two hours. Cost to participate in the webcast, or to attend in person in Troy, is $45.00. Go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/multimedia/forecast-2012-live-webcast-february-19,-2012!!!/ for more information.

March 1 and 3, 2012: Hong Kong. “Forecast 2012” on Thursday, March 1, and a full day intensive on “Financial Market Timing” on Saturday, March 3, with emphasis on Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Organized by Earlthorn.Com at the Excelsior Hotel, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Contact Teresa Wong at 852-2529 1211 (phone), or by e-mail at earlthorn@hknet.com. A special 90-minute private meeting with MMA Subscribers will follow the workshop on March 3. You must reserve your space for this meeting with MMA.

March 9-11, 2012: The 12th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a pre-seminar workshop with Raymond Merriman. For further information on this fantastic gathering, contact www.keplerunited.org. +381-11-267-31-92 or email info@keplerunited.org.

April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado. “Forecast 2012” with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on “Financial Market Timing,” focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com. Once again, a private meeting for MMA subscribers will follow the workshop.

May 24-29, 2012: UAC!!! The world’s largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world. There will be private meeting for MMA on Friday or Sunday evening on the top floor of the Marriott.

June 23: Amsterdam. A special 5-hour workshop on “The Gold Market: Forecasting the Price of Gold” Details to be announced shortly, but mark your calendars for an exciting event in one of the world’s most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year: the first Uranus-Pluto square!

August 2-6, 2012: Midwest Astrology Conference, in Ann Arbor, MI, Holiday Inn. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology, Thursday, August 2, with Raymond Merriman. More details soon.

September 14-15, 2012: San Diego: Lecture on world economy and national election, and then a workshop on Financial Market Timing. More details shortly.
details soon.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose:

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.

It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

Copyright MMACycles 2007; you may link to this site or page, but you may not distribute these texts in any way (by email or otherwise).

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