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Comments for the Week Beginning Februari 5, 2007
Written by Raymond Merriman   

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Many stock markets of the world continued higher last week, with several setting new all-time highs, and others setting new multi-year highs. This happened in spite of the highs formed the prior week when Jupiter formed its first of three squares to Uranus, a signature that coincided with an expected decline afterwards. However, the amplitude and duration of that decline was anemic compared to past historical cases. In fact, in the case of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in the United States, there has been no decline of over 4%, or lasting over one week, since the 50-week cycle trough of July 18, 2006. That was 29 weeks ago. I don’t recall this market ever being up this long without a decline lasting more than one week, and at least 4%. To say it is overdue for a decline is an understatement. To continually suggest that a decline is coming whenever we reach a time band of several geocosmic signatures – which historically has corresponded to market reversals in approximately 80% of instances – begins to lose credibility.

So what is the cause of this amazing rally that seems like it will never end? As I stated last week, “Technically, last week looks like another optimal set up for this decline to begin. But fundamentally, this is not the expected season for a major decline to begin, because so much new money typically comes into funds now in the form of retirement accounts. For tax purposes these funds are received in the first quarter of every year, and it is one of the best tax deferments available to Americans. So those monies tend to end up in equities, driving stock prices higher around this time every year now.” OK. That’s a valid fundamental explanation, which very few investors will have trouble accepting.

But astrologers want astrological answers. Here it is not so easy, for I am not aware of any astrologer who called for this prolonged bullishness without a single multi-week decline in 29 weeks. We have to realize that there will be times when fundamental issues will have a more dominant impact upon the market than astrological factors, and even technical factors. It happens. But it would not be wise to assume that therefore there is no correlation between astrology and market behavior. We have seen too often that there is a correlation that cannot be explained any other way. And, in spite of the fact that the stock market has not responded so closely to these geocosmic studies as of late, the same cannot be said about other financial markets. The currency markets, precious metals, energy, and grain markets have reversed beautifully during these projected times of reversals, much as one would expect. It is just the stock market that has been behaving…. oddly.

Perhaps it is Jupiter in Sagittarius. As pointed out in previous columns, Jupiter is the ruler of Sagittarius, and both pertain to the principle of expansion, growth and optimism. Jupiter transits each sign for about one year, and it will remain in Sagittarius until the end of this year. In most previous cases over the past 110 years, this has coincided with bull markets in equities. Or perhaps it is the opposition of Saturn and Neptune, which is in effect August 30, 2006 through June 25, 2007. Saturn rules control and government, and Neptune pertains to manipulation. Could the U.S. government be intervening in the equity markets to artificially keep prices high? It is certainly conceivable under the principles of Saturn and Neptune, especially as they hit natal planets dealing with “money” of top government officials. Or is it just that my own personal judgment on the matter has entered a slump? Well, that’s always possible, for market analysts – like everyone else – have periods of “good judgment” and bad judgment,” as shown by transits to their natal charts. Except in my case, it is only the stock market that has mystified me with its performance since September. I’ve never seen a stock market rally for 29 consecutive weeks without a 4% decline of more than one-week correction. And all of my work is based upon historical probabilities between market prices, cycles, technical; studies, and astrology. Take stocks out of the picture (or even leave it in), and I have been enjoying one of the most profitable trading year’s of my life.

So where do we go from here? As a market analyst who deals strictly in probabilities, I cannot tell readers to give up the idea of a corrective decline. I am not stubborn. It’s just that we are in uncharted waters now, where there have been no cases that I can find readily in which there has not been a correction at this point in a market cycle.

In other markets, Crude Oil rallied smartly last week, as we now approach the critical 60.00 level. This market sprung very well from the 49.90 level of January 18, just two trading days before the Jupiter-Uranus square, as anticipated in this column. Both Gold and Silver continued to soar into Thursday of last week, to their highest level in several weeks, before pulling back on Friday. The same was true with the Euro. All of this fits very well with the astrological factors in place for the past couple of weeks, and sets the stage for explosive breakouts if they can continue above last week’s high. But first, a correction is due here too.

Short-Term Geocosmics

We are now entering the next cluster of geocosmic signatures that have a strong correlation to reversals in many financial markets. On Wednesday, February 7, Venus will conjunct Uranus in Pisces, a level 1 (strongest) signature to U.S. stocks market reversals within 12 trading days (72% probability). On February 8, the Sun will conjunct Neptune, another level 1 signature that has a 79% correlation to primary or greater cycles within 14 trading days. Venus will then square Jupiter on February 9, which is followed by the opposition of the Sun and Saturn on February 10. The later is also a level 1 signature with a 73% correlation to primary or greater cycles within 11 trading days. The conjunction and opposition are very important, for they represent the beginning and the peak of a cycle. Markets could turn within – or very nearby to – this period.

There is astrological cause to think that this could correspond to a crest in the stock market (again). Previously we had stated the importance of the Jupiter-Uranus square. Now this week the first “fast planet” (Venus) translates to that square. It conjuncts Uranus and therefore also squares Jupiter. Sometimes it is the “translation” of a fast planet to the slower moving planets that act as the catalyst for the slower moving planet’s coreelation to a cycle reversal.

Long-Term Thoughts

February will begin the 52nd month of the bull market off the October 10, 2002 4-year cycle trough. There have only been three cases since 1893 in which the stock market has rallied this long following a 4-year bottom. The last time was from August 1982 until August 1987, a rally that lasted 60 months, the longest on record for a 4-year cycle. Following that crest in August 1987, the DJIA fell over 40% in slightly less than 2 months (under a Jupiter-Uranus trine). The time before that was from the 72-year cycle trough in July 1932 through the crest of March 1937. It lasted 56 months, and was followed by a one-year decline where the DJIA lost 50% of its value. So we are in rare territory with this cycle too. The lesson? When markets go up this high and this long, they usually end with a stunning plunge. Everyone says “it can’t happen this time, because the economy and inflation doing so well.” However, stunning and dramatic declines hardly ever have to do with changes in the economy or inflation. They usually begin with flaws in the mechanics of the market itself, such as over-leverage, and once the decline happens, then the economic data starts to turn south too. So it’s the other way around from conventional wisdom. Problems in the markets lead to problems in the economy, not vice-versa. Could there be problems in the market mechanics this year? Sure. After all, Jupiter is in square to Uranus and Saturn is in opposition to Neptune. Surprises and malfunctions, and sudden large losses by hedge finds (or even governments) are very possible this year. And sop will be the3 effort by those entities to cover it up. That’s the nature of Neptune, and that’s the reason why so many cases of manipulation are not discovered right away under this signature. The last time it occurred was in 1971-72, during the Watergate Burglaries. But it wasn’t brought to the public’s awareness until; 1973-74.

Enjoy this run while it lasts. But be smart enough to step aside once the decline starts, because most likely, it will be a stunner.

 

Announcements

The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions – the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report – will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, and attachment via direct emails, for subscribers. This report covers our longer-term analysis of the U.S. stock market, precious metals, crude oil, currencies, Treasury Notes, grain markets, and now GLD and SLV – the ETF’s of Gold and Silver. The MMA Japan Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. The MMA European Cycles Report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX, each in English only, and will be available on Wednesday. Go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/subscription-services/mma-cycles-report/, for further information and subscription.

The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is now available!!! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating 1) Market Timing studies, 2) Price Objective calculations, 3) Technical Analysis, 4) Pattern Recognition studies, and 5) Trend Analysis. The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining the forthcoming Venus retrograde period (May 15-June 27), the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD workshop is $180.00 plus postage. To order, please go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/multimedia/dvd-of-boulder-workshop-on-financial-market-timing!!!/. Or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing – especially in the next few months – this is a presentation you will not want to miss!

 

June 23: A special 5-hour workshop on “The Gold Market: Forecasting the Future Price of Gold and Silver.” 1:00 PM – 6:00 PM, Hotel Park Plaza Victoria. Amsterdam, Damrak 1-5, Amsterdam 1012 LG, Netherlands. Sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This is a special workshop on precious metals you will not want to miss!!! Cost is €345 ex VAT. Subscribers of any MMA reports (trials excluded) receive a 15% discount. For further information, please go to http://www.markettiming.nl/en/producten/workshop-gold-silver, or call 31 (02) 294 415 917, or by fax at 31 (02) 294-415-918 to register for an exciting event in one of the world’s most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year: the first Uranus-Pluto square will be taking place then, right near the summer solstice! This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited!

Raymond Merriman’s “On-Line Market Timing Academy” (OLMTA) will offer a pre-training course on “Beginning Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing,” September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. A DVD will be available afterwards as well. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the OLMTA market training course, as developed and instructed by Raymond Merriman. The OLMTA two-year training course will begin in March 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study – 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). We will make announcements as this training program unfolds. The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers). This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who apply and are accepted into OLMTA by late October 2012.

 

If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with position trading and aggressive trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF’s (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers: “I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $850,000.  Thanks for your excellent publications.” - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.

NEW! Now available Mini-Congress ‘Outlook for 2012’ on CD!!! Recordings of the congress “Outlook for 2012,” held January 21, 2012 in Amsterdam, are now available on CD, with audio and PDFs of PowerPoint slides. All lectures are spoken in English. The following presentations are included on this CD:  “2012 End Time of Dawning” by Irma Schogt (20 minutes);“Happy New Year” by Drs. Karen Hamaker-Zondag (20 minutes , regarding ECB and Federal Reserve Board); “2012: The Center of the Storm” by Antonia Langsdorf (20 minutes, regarding Mayan calendar and astrology); “Forecast for 2012” by Raymond Merriman (1 hour). Total length 2 hours, with PowerPoint slides sent online in a PDF document.  Cost is $55.00 plus postage. Please go to http://www.mmacycles.com/the-news/about-mma/cd%27s-now-available-on-the-forecast-2012-mini%11congress-in-amsterdam,-january-21,-2012/, or www.mmacycles.com for ordering info.

Our new 2012 MMA Catalogue is now out!! You can download this catalogue directly at http://www.mmacycles.com/index.php?option=com_docman&task=cat_view&gid=41&Itemid=63.

EVENTS:

May 24-29, 2012: UAC!!! The world’s largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world. There will be private meeting for MMA on Friday evening on the top floor of the Marriott. If you are interested in attending, please contact us and reserve your space! No cost to subscribers! Otherwise $95.00 to participate.

June 23: Amsterdam. A special 5-hour workshop on “The Gold Market: Forecasting the Future Price of Gold and Silver.” 1:00 PM – 6:00 PM, Hotel Park Plaza Victoria. Amsterdam, Damrak 1-5, Amsterdam 1012 LG, Netherlands. Sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This is a special workshop on precious metals you will not want to miss!!! Cost is € 345 ex VAT. Subscribers of any MMA reports (trials excluded) receive a 15% discount. For further information, please go to http://www.markettiming.nl/en/producten/workshop-gold-silver for an exciting event in one of the world’s most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year: the first Uranus-Pluto square will be taking place then, right near the summer solstice! This will be special. You may also register by calling 31 (02) 294 415 917, or by fax at 31 (02) 294-415-918. Register now as seating is limited!

August 2-6, 2012: Midwest Astrology Conference, in Ann Arbor, MI, Holiday Inn. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology, Thursday, August 2, with Raymond Merriman. More details soon.

 

September 15-16, 2012: Troy, Michigan. OLMTA – the On-Line Market Timing Academy – will conduct it pre-curriculum introductory workshop on “Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing.” This will be an introductory course on how to read an ephemeris and how to calculate a critical reversal date. It is open to anyone, but understanding this material is mandatory for anyone entering the MMA mentor-apprenticeship program that will officially start in March 2013. This introductory workshop will be available as a live webinar too. The cost is $300 to subscribers of any MMA subscription report, or $395 to others. For further information, please contact mmacustomerservice@gmail.com or ordersmmma@msn.com.Or go to www.mmacycles.com, and scroll down to the bottom of the first page.

 


Disclaimer and statement of purpose:

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.

It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

Copyright MMACycles 2007; you may link to this site or page, but you may not distribute these texts in any way (by email or otherwise).

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