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Comments For The Week Beginning November 12, 2007 This is not the same as our service titled
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| Comments For The Week Beginning November 12, 2007 |
Review and PreviewThe sub-prime mortgage woes in the U.S.A. continue to unsettle investors around the world, despite efforts by the FED the prior week to alleviate those concerns by lowering the FED funds rate. That rate reduction was greeted positively the day it was announced. But ever since then, equity markets have plunged. And the free fall in the U.S. Dollar has investors concerned, despite Treasury Secretary Paulsen’s insistence that a strong Dollar is in the country’s best interest. Now what tools do they have available to calm the brewing storm? All world stock indices plunged last week. Some – like the Japanese Nikkei and Swiss stock index - are now testing their lows of August. This suggests that the 4-year cycle might not have bottomed then, but is in the process of doing so now. If that is the case, we may still see indices fall more than 20% below their multi-year and all-time highs of the past few weeks. As pointed out in prior columns, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has plunged at least 20% in over 85% of historical cases after the 4-year cycle tops out. The decline into August 16 was only 11% off the prior highs in July. That was a very short decline (only one month) and the lowest percentage of decline on record, if indeed that was a 4-year cycle trough. It was never confirmed because prices never broke the 23-month moving average.
On the other hand, the Euro currency continues its blow-off to new all-time highs, while the Dollar falls to new all-time and multi-decade lows against other currencies. In sympathy, Gold tested its all-time last week, reaching $848.00 on Wednesday, November 7. Silver soared to a multi-year high of $16.27 on the same day in the overseas markets. Crude Oil also put in another new all-time high on the same day, as it hit $98.62.barrel. Our forecast of $100.00/barrel, made over two years ago based on Uranus transiting the middle degrees of Pisces, is essentially being achieved now. Uranus will end its retrograde motion and turn direct on November 24 at 14 degrees, 46 minutes of Pisces. That’s about as “middle of Pisces” as you get. Short-Term GeocosmicsWe are getting close to the middle of one of the most important geocosmic clusters of the year. As stated last week, “The time band continues to be in effect of so many important geocosmic signatures to one another between October 25 and November 30. Near the middle of this cluster, Mars will turn retrograde on November 14, something it does every 25-26 months… We note that the all-time speculative high of $850.00/ounce in Gold occurred in mid-January 1980, just a couple of days past a Mars retrograde. Interesting enough, Saturn was in Virgo then too, a position it occupies for about two years in its 29-year orbit around the Sun. Saturn just ingressed into Virgo in early September 2007, where it will remain through fall of 2009. And interesting also is that Gold is back above $800 for the first time since then. Same planets, same signs (for Saturn), same Gold prices. How is that for synchronicity?” So here we are. The middle of this huge geocosmic cluster is right now. Mars goes retrograde this week, followed by Uranus on November 24. And on December 11, the 13-year cycle of the Jupiter-Pluto conjunction will take place. Is it any wonder that these markets are so nervous right now, and exhibiting such large price swings? Readers of this column know that when signatures involving Mars, Jupiter, and Uranus are prominent, financial markets oftentimes go berserk. Blow-offs to new cycle highs that break all resistance zones, or panic selling to new cycle lows that break all support zones, result in huge profits or losses for many traders, depending on whether they are on the right or wrong side of these moves. The large price swings could continue as this week begins with the “Sagittarius Factor” (Moon in Sagittarius) on Monday. This single lunar signature has a high correspondence to big range days in several financial markets. The week also begins with a waning square between the Sun and Neptune, a Level 1 signature for stocks that also has tendency to coincide with rumors and misinformation or poor analysis of the situation (yes, more of that). And then on Wednesday, Mars turns retrograde through the last days of January. Is there any hope ahead? Yes. Venus has now moved into the sign it rules – Libra – on November 8, where it remains through December 5. Generally speaking, this is a mostly bullish time for equities and bearish for many commodities, like Gold and Silver. But with the Jupiter-Pluto conjunction looming ahead, and having themes pertinent to a crisis in debt markets (which we are indeed now experiencing), there will be a battle between these two contradictory cosmic forces. It suggests some days of very strong rallies, intermixed with other days of very strong declines. It may be a good time to be a day trader, and not take the risk of holding overnight positions. Longer-Term ThoughtsThe question on everybody’s mind right now seems to be: “Is this it? Is the big decline starting that will result in a major depression and stock market collapse?” After all, the FED seems to be losing control. Their efforts to please market players the previous week were for naught. The markets have not been stable since, We are currently in the decade of a “Triple Saturn Oppositions.” This was described in last year’s Forecast Book in great detail. This is when each of the 32-45 year cycles between Saturn and the planets outside of its orbit (Uranus, Neptune and Pluto) come into an aspect of an opposition. It doesn’t happen very often that these three oppositions unfold within a span of just ten years. In fact, it has happened only three times in the history of the U.S. stock market (last 200 years). In each case the stock market made a new all-time high. And in each case a prolonged bear market followed that lasted at least 23 months, and prices dropped at least 40%. Do I think the stock market has now topped out and such a bear market is beginning? No, not yet, although that opinion could change depending on market patterns that could unfold at any time. I believe that before the final top is in, we have to get within 10 months of the Saturn-Uranus opposition, the last of the three Saturn oppositions that will take place November 2008 through July 2010. After all, this signature (and its conjunction) has the highest correlation of any planetary combination to very long term cycle highs or lows. I think Bernanke and Paulsen will still continue their utmost to avoid a recession or outright stock market crash on their watch. I just don’t think these fire sign heroes have much tolerance for financial market pain, and plenty of ingenuity to try unexpected things that will surprise everyone. But I do wonder what they can do right now to strengthen the Dollar, if we are to assume that Paulsen is sincere in his insistence he favors a strong dollar. As I see it, there are only three ways to change the course of the Dollar in the very near future. First, raise interest rates in U.S. (or lower them in Europe). I don’t see that happening. Second, orchestrate a coordinate currency intervention amongst central bankers to buy dollars and sell the euro. That could happen, but it will not solve the problem for long. Third, start a war. When wars start, the U.S. Dollar becomes the “safe haven” currency. Hmmm… with Mars turning retrograde, That would not be advisable right now. Under Mars retrograde, the aggressor usually loses big time. Think Argentina and the Falkland Islands back in the early 1980’s. |
Announcements
The “Forecast 2012” webcast will take place on Sunday, February 19, starting at 1:00 PM EST (that’s 6:00 PM GMT or 10:00 AM PST). Via the modern technology of our webinar host, you can log onto this presentation on current markets (both long-term and short-term outlooks) and the political-psychological climate for 2012, in the comfort of your home or office. All you need is a computer with speakers. You can hear the speech and see the live presentation and slide show, complete with the charts as they are being discussed, on your computer screen. The cost for this special event is $45.00. If you are interested in being part of this unique live webcast, just register at the MMA Website (www.mmacycles.com) and scroll down the opening screen for the announcement. Or drop us an email (ordersmma@msn.com) or fax (248-538-5296), or call us at 1-248-626-3034. Instructions to log into this event will be sent upon making reservations. Reserve early (before February 17), for space will be limited.
Many of you have asked about DVD’s or CD’s on the “Forecast 2012 Mini-Congress on January 21 in Amsterdam that I participated in. On the program were also three other excellent speakers on the subject: Irma Schogt of Schogt Market Timing in Amsterdam, plus world renowned astrologer Katen Hammaker-Zondag (specialist in the future of the Euro zone and Euro currency) and Antonia Langsdorf, of Cologne, Germany, who wrote “The Eye of the Storm,” a best-selling rendition about the year 2012 from the point of view of Mayan schools and astrologers. These recording will soon be available through Irma Schogt. We will announce when they will be available, probably within the week. You check in with us next week, or contact Irma directly at www.markettiming.nl.
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with position trading and aggressive trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF’s (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers: “I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000 (now $850,000). Thanks for your excellent publications.” - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Copies of the printed version of Forecast 2012 are still available. There will be no additional printings, so when they are gone, they are gone. This year’s book is 200 pages – our largest ever – and packed full of information about the economy, USA Presidential election, social and economic trends, and of course, financial markets with their all-important three-star critical reversal dates (the one and two-star reversal dates are covered in the MMA Cycles Report, as well as weekly reports). For further information, please go to the front page of our web site at www.mmacycles.com, Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.
The E-Book version of the Forecast 2012 Book is now out as well in two different formats. The first is our own version, which contains both the text and the calendar-ephemeris for 2012. The cost for this is $55.00, or $35.00, depending on whether you also ordered the printed version too. The second is through Apple iTunes, which covers iPhone 4 and 4S, and the iPad, and also Amazon.com Kindle. The cost is $39.99. It does not contain the advertisements or the planetary calendar and ephemeris in the back. You can now order it if you have an email address registered via one of these 9 countries (USA, UK, Australia, France, Canada, Italy, Portugal, Slovenia, and Spain). Just go to iTunes, and then “Library,” then “Store,” then in the field titled “Search,” type in “Forecast 2012” or “Raymond Merriman” (without quotation marks). Or, go to http://itunes.apple.com/us/artist/raymond-merriman/id408289861?mt=11.
“After reading the annual Forecasts and subscribing to MMA Cycles for the past ten years, I can say that Ray Merriman's forecasts are uncannily accurate and indispensable for the preservation of wealth. Nothing else I've seen compares. It is without a doubt the best perspective on the big picture, not just bits and pieces of the picture.”
W.W., Investor and Teacher, Indiana.
Our new 2012 MMA Catalogue is now out!! You can download this catalogue directly at http://www.mmacycles.com/index.php?option=com_docman&task=cat_view&gid=41&Itemid=63.
Events:
February 19, 2012: “Forecast 2012 Worldwide Webcast!!!” This is our annual speech to viewers the world over. It will be the latest update on Raymond Merriman’s annual Forecast Book. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this speech will focus on the current state of the economy, political situation in Washington, DC, and in particular, the financial markets, including: the U.S. stock market, interest rates, the U.S. Dollar, Gold, and Silver. This will be a telecast of the live presentation taking place at the Michigan Education Conference Center in Troy, Michigan on Square Lake Road. The webcast and speech will start at 1:00 PM, EST and last two hours. Cost to participate in the webcast, or to attend in person in Troy, is $45.00. Go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/multimedia/forecast-2012-live-webcast-february-19,-2012!!!/ for more information.
March 1 and 3, 2012: Hong Kong. “Forecast 2012” on Thursday, March 1, and a full day intensive on “Financial Market Timing” on Saturday, March 3, with emphasis on Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Organized by Earlthorn.Com at the Excelsior Hotel, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Contact Teresa Wong at 852-2529 1211 (phone), or by e-mail at earlthorn@hknet.com. A special 90-minute private meeting with MMA Subscribers will follow the workshop on March 3. You must reserve your space for this meeting with MMA.
March 9-11, 2012: The 12th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a pre-seminar workshop with Raymond Merriman. For further information on this fantastic gathering, contact www.keplerunited.org. +381-11-267-31-92 or email info@keplerunited.org.
April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado. “Forecast 2012” with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on “Financial Market Timing,” focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com. Once again, a private meeting for MMA subscribers will follow the workshop.
May 24-29, 2012: UAC!!! The world’s largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world. There will be private meeting for MMA on Friday or Sunday evening on the top floor of the Marriott.
June 23: Amsterdam. A special 5-hour workshop on “The Gold Market: Forecasting the Price of Gold” Details to be announced shortly, but mark your calendars for an exciting event in one of the world’s most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year: the first Uranus-Pluto square!
August 2-6, 2012: Midwest Astrology Conference, in Ann Arbor, MI, Holiday Inn. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology, Thursday, August 2, with Raymond Merriman. More details soon.
September 14-15, 2012: San Diego: Lecture on world economy and national election, and then a workshop on Financial Market Timing. More details shortly.
details soon.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose:
The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.
This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.
It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
Copyright MMACycles 2007; you may link to this site or page, but you may not distribute these texts in any way (by email or otherwise).
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