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MMA Comments for the Week Beginning October 19, 2009 This is not the same as our service titled
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| MMA Comments for the Week Beginning October 19, 2009 |
| Written by Raymond Merriman | |
Review and PreviewThe Dow Jones Industrial Average broke the 10,000 mark last Wednesday for the first time since the Great Panic of 2008. In fact it reached a new yearly high of 10,062 on Thursday and Friday before closing the week back under 10,000. Was that it? Possibly. After all, the high coincided with the two important “translations” at the end of last week. As stated before, “Of most importance, however, may be the translation of Venus to the Saturn-Uranus-Pluto T-square of October 9-15. But then a closer look at that period will reveal that the Sun will trine the Jupiter-Neptune conjunction October 10-16, while Jupiter ends its retrograde motion and goes stationary direct date on October 12.” The DJIA wasn’t the only stock index to make a new yearly high late last week. In fact, all the equity indices we track made new yearly highs at the end of last week, except the Japanese Nikkei. Other markets also performed well. Gold made a new all-time high on Wednesday, while Silver and currencies (against the U.S. Dollar) made yearly highs the same day. Crude Oil soared past its yearly high of 75.00, reaching 78.67 on Friday. The grain markets also did very well. The only financial markets that we follow that didn’t do well were the U.S. Dollar (see Longer-Term Thoughts) and Treasuries. So as we look back, we can observe that the third passage of the Saturn-Uranus opposition did correspond with a top, but not of a primary cycle degree. In the first two passages, the DJIA fell close to 2000 points over the subsequent 3-4 weeks. But in this third passage, the decline was only slightly less than 500 points, and it lasted all of 7 trading days. It is interesting to note that in this new century, every third year has failed to produce the dreaded “October surprise” to the downside, despite the presence of some rather serious geocosmic signatures that suggested it would. In each case so far, the rally continued into February before a significant decline commenced into March. Short-Term GeocosmicsThis week is important from a lunar cycle standpoint. First of all, this Saturday (October 17) will witness a new moon in Libra, which oftentimes does correspond to a high prior to a substantial decline. Yet on Tuesday, Mercury will form a trine to Jupiter, followed by the Moon in Sagittarius on Wednesday and Thursday. When markets are rising, these factors can also correspond to a peak, for Jupiter and Sagittarius represent the principle of optimism, particularly with Venus in Libra. With earning reports still coming out, there can be more “good news” under these combinations. Longer-Term Thoughts“You know that line in Fletch when Chevy Chase tells a doctor that it was a shame that ‘Ed’ died so suddenly. ‘He was in intensive care for eight weeks,’ the doctor says. To which Chevy Chase replies: ‘But in the very end, where he actually died… that was extremely sudden.’” – Fed governor Kevin Warsh, as quoted by David Wessel in the book, “In FED We Trust.” It’s a problem nobody in Washington DC or Wall Street wants to talk about. And it relates to our current subject of Pluto in Capricorn and the Economy. Specifically, it is a direct result of the falling value of the U.S. Dollar, the historically low interest rates, and the devastating effect it is having upon savers who planned upon interest income to survive in their golden years. Transiting Pluto has been crossing back and forth in opposition to the U.S.A. natal Venus at 0 Cancer since January 2008, using the July 2, 1776 date for the Declaration of Independence. It is stationary at 0 Cancer from August through October 2009. Venus rules a country’s currency, and Pluto in opposition represents a threat to its value, even its survival. One of the hot topics taking place in financial forums (and financial ministries) all over the world today is the stability of the U.S. Dollar. Its status as the standard world currency is coming under increasing scrutiny, and there are many who believe it will lose that status in the not-too-distant future. Following the opposition to Venus, transiting Pluto will then move into opposition to the USA Jupiter. As discussed before, transiting Pluto, Neptune, or Uranus in hard aspect to an entity’s natal Venus or Jupiter is a classical bankruptcy aspect. It doesn’t mean you will go bankrupt, but if you enlarge debt and/or increase the risk of your financial exposure, the probabilities are high that you will. One of the reasons for this prolonged decline in the U.S. Dollar has been the interest rate policy of the Federal Reserve Board, which has set its benchmark Fed funds rate at 0-.25% for almost one year now. According the Fed’s recent statements, there are no plans to raise it in the immediate future, which means there may be no plan to support the Dollar. But there are other consequences upon the economy. As long as rates remain this low, it creates great financial pain to retired people and others who depend upon interest from savings to survive. With the basic interest rate now being paid on bank savings and money market accounts at about .1% annualized, savers are in effect being penalized. Not only that, they are being forced to seek higher returns through speculation in stocks and other financial vehicles which may not be suitable to their age or situation. And not only that, but without the income derived from savings, there will be less spending by a large segment of the population. They can’t afford to spend as they were accustomed to doing. This ultimately hurts retail businesses too. No gifts this Christmas from the grandparents. Consider a few years ago when interest on money markets was paying about 5%. On a $500,000 savings account, that would yield about $25,000/year. Added to social security payments, a retiree could get by fairly well. But at .1%-.3% return, the annual income from interest is drastically reduced to only $500-1500/year. The retiree has at least four choices, all unattractive: 1) move to long-term bonds, which yielded close to 4% now, but are subject to changes in principle until their term expires, and are not as liquid, 2) move to stocks or other investment vehicles, where the principle may fluctuate wildly and therefore negate the “safety” feature they need, 3) try to go back to work, in an environment where work is hard to find, 4) start spending from the principle, with the prospect of eventually running out of savings. I am oftentimes asked by clients, “Where can I put my capital today that’s safe and will earn money?” The answer is – sadly – nowhere. If you are a conservative saver, seeking to protect your capital, you are being forced to accept almost no return for your “good saving’s habit,” or to become a speculator in search for higher returns with the probability of developing some bad financial habits that puts at risk all the money you have carefully worked so hard to save. In short, this devaluation of the Dollar through the lowering of interest rates to today’s historic lows is also the creation of a “disaster waiting to happen.” And when it hits, with an army of baby boomers entering retirement over the next decade, it could be exactly like Chevy Chase said: ‘But in the very end, where he (the Dollar and the economy) actually died… that was extremely sudden.’” This is just another of the many challenges facing the government, investors, and the common man as Pluto grinds its way through Capricorn over the next 15 years. It is consistent with the waning phase of the Saturn-Pluto cycle (2001-2020), where one must resist the temptation to sacrifice the safety of one’s capital for the dream of higher returns through unwise speculation. A peak in this dynamic is likely in the next year when Saturn reaches the midpoint of that waning phase, as it forms a waning square to Pluto (November 15, 2009-August 21, 2010). It will also pose a major ethical and image problem for investment banks and brokerage firms who just announced they will pay out record bonuses this year to their executives, just one year after the greatest banking crisis in the last 80 years required huge sums of taxpayers’ money to bail them out. That’s the thing about cycles involving Pluto: if you repeat the behavior that created problems, expecting different results, you are going to take some heat. A lot of heat. Big business and banks are apt to find that the disdain and distrust the public is forming about them is growing. Being insensitive to the financially struggling community that supports them is not a good sign for their future, especially with Pluto in Capricorn. Next week we will start on Neptune’s role in today’s social and economic situation, which will tie into this issue even more deeply. |
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For a review of the forecasts from the Forecast 2010 book, please go to www.mmacycles.com, and scroll down to about the third or fourth article on the opening screen. Or go directly to http://www.mmacycles.com/the-news/about-mma/scorecard-for-forecasts-2010/.
If you are an active short-term trader, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, call our offices at 1-248-626-3034, or go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services. In the words of one of our subscribers: “I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report. I can't imagine now managing my investments without them.” Order now with the Forecast 2011 Book and receive a special 10% rate reduction on these services through October.
The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions – the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report – went out last week. If you are a subscriber and did not receive it, contact us at once. This report covers our longer-term analysis of the U.S. stock market, precious metals, crude oil, currencies, Treasury Notes, and grain markets. The MMA Japan Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. The new MMA European Cycles Report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX, each in English only. These reports are included in the Japanese, German, and Dutch translated MMA Cycles Report respectively. New yearly (or renewing) subscribers to these reports will receive a free copy of the Forecast 2010 book while supplies last (see below). You also qualify for a special discount on a yearly subscription if at the same time you pre-order Forecast 2011. For subscription information, please go to SERVICES at www.mmacycles.com.
CD’s DVD’s, and MP3’s of the July 11 webcast are now available!!! Each of these various ways to see the event can now be ordered via our website at www.mmacycles.com (just click the opening banner), or by calling 1-248-3034 or email operations at ordersmma@msn.com. The cost of each is $45.00, plus postage if necessary. This webcast covered our outlook for stocks, precious metals, interest rates and Treasuries, foreign currencies vis-à-vis the U.S. Dollar, and Grains. We pick this time because it was right before the astrological midpoint of the Cardinal Climax, which is taking place now. It may be the peak of the huge trend reversals expected in many of these markets, aided and abetted by major changes of trend in geopolitical matters. It is interesting to see how the stocks, grains and currencies moved right up into this time band, as outlined in this presentation. You won’t want to miss this. Order now, because most of the trading opportunities presented are in effect mainly from July 21 through October 8, 2010!!!
ForumOnAstrology.com is holding a three-day video conference on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, October 1st, 2nd, and 3, 2010. This pioneering Internet astrological conference features dozens of internationally known speakers. Very economically priced, all participants have access to all live broadcasts with the ability to replay them from the archives for up to three months. Call (212) 929-4507 or email Inquiries@ForumOnAstrology.com.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won’t manage other people’s money. That is especially true now with the uncertainty in the market place as of late. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one’s portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O’Neill of Capstone Capital Wealth Management, Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 247-0600. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as exactly when to enter and exit any market. I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the “Best in-house fund of funds” in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner’s funds, please contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
OK. You’ve asked about classes in Financial Astrology, and I am giving two of them in great South American cities in late September and early October. Since these constitute “investment education,” many of you will be able to write the expenses of this trip off (travel, some meals, and cost of conferences). Here are some more details of each – and I hope to see many subscribers at each:
September 23-26, 2010: Buenos Aires! Seminar on Financial and Mundane Astrology with Raymond Merriman and others, with special emphasis on Argentina’s Merval Index and precious metals and whatever else is of interest to participants, for each Financial Astrology workshop is different. For more information, contact Claudia Rizzi at astrologycr@gmail.com, or visit our web site at www.mmacycles-spanish.com. If you only speak Spanish, go to www.astrologiamundana2010.blogspot.com. We will host a special gathering of MMA Subscribers at the end of the seminar, depending on interest expressed.
October 1-2, 2010: Rio de Janeiro! Workshop on Financial Astrology with Raymond Merriman, plus a Mundane Astrology panel with Merriman and others. The workshop will have with special emphasis on Brazil’s Bovespa Index and precious metals, and whatever else is of interest to participants. For more information, contact Renato Chebar at astrologiafinanceira@gmail.com. We may host a special gathering for MMA Subscribers on Sunday, October 3, the day of Brazil’s elections, if enough subscribers request such a meeting.
January 14-16, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland. “Forecasts 2011” symposia featuring top mundane and financial astrologers, plus one day workshop on Financial Market Timing with Ray Merriman, to be followed by a special meeting with MMA Subscribers (at no cost). For more details, go to www.astrodata.ch.
March 10-12, 2011: Mexico City, Mexico. Speech on Forecasts 2011, and workshop on “Evolutionary Astrology: The Journey of the Soul Through States of Consciousness.” For information, please contact acuario888@gmail.com.
April 28 and 30, 2011: Kansas City, Mo. “Forecasts for 2011” and “Financial Astrology Workshop” with Raymond Merriman. Sponsored by AOA. Details soon. This will be the next Financial Astrology workshop in the United States.
September 1-8, 2011: Bali! "Financial Astrology" Intensive workshop with Raymond Merriman, and "Mundane Astrology" with Claude Weiss. For more information on this unique week-long intensive and incredible South Pacific paradise adventure, please go to http://www.heavenandearthworkshops.com/financial.html.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose:
The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.
This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.
It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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