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MMA Comments for the Week Beginning October 20, 2008

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Stock markets around the world began last week with a historic rally following the panic sell-off the previous week. On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up over 900 points, a record point increase for one day. By early Tuesday, the DJIA touched 9794, a rise of nearly 2000 points since the 7882 low of Friday, October 10, just two trading days earlier. By Thursday, it was back down to 8197, nearly 1600 points off that high. To say the market has been volatile would be a gross understatement. Volatility and breaking through major support and resistance areas is all within the domain of Mercury retrograde and strong Uranus aspects. Mercury ended its retrograde motion last Wednesday, but the “shadow” period remains in effect through October 31, while Saturn still is applying to its first of five oppositions to Uranus on Election Day, November 4. This later phenomenon is a serious 45-year planetary cycle, signifying the potential to lose control, and entering a period of sudden and dramatic losses. When Mercury is also retrograde during the period of influence of the Saturn-Uranus opposition, decision-making has a rough road in obtaining consensus from others. It can exaggerate the fear associated with Saturn, and the hysteria associated with Uranus. Markets can get wild and the result can be huge daily price swings, as we have seen lately.

It is not only in the arena of financial markets that the instability and sudden reversal nature of these planetary signatures take place. We also see it in the poll numbers of the presidential candidates, whose fortunes have changed since the Mercury “shadow” period began September 3. For instructional purposes, the “shadow” of Mercury retrograde covers a longer period of time than just the retrograde. It includes the entire period in which Mercury transits the degrees of the retrograde period. In other words, Mercury went retrograde on September 24 at 22.50 (22 degrees, 50 minutes of arc) in Libra. It went direct on October 15 at 7.33 Libra. But prior to going retrograde, Mercury was also at 7.33 Libra on September 3, and after going to direct, it took until October 30 before it reached 22.50 Libra again. The Mercury retrograde and “shadow” period was thus in effect September 3 through October 30.

Many astrologers believe that the Mercury retrograde principles pertain not just to the time Mercury is actually in retrograde motion, but also during the times that it is in the Mercury retrograde “shadow” periods. This may be a critical point in forecasting this year’s election, for sometime between September 3 and 15 McCain held a 4-point lead over Obama. But since that time, the polls have switched 2-12 points in favor of Obama, depending on which poll you follow. If the momentum shifts back to McCain after Mercury returns to direct motion (October 15), as the classical principles of Mundane Astrology would suggest, then McCain may still have a chance to pull this out. But if the valid zone of recovery includes the Mercury retrograde “shadow period” as well, then the momentum change in favor of Obama would continue to grow through October 30. Conditions and/or sentiment wouldn’t return again to the pre-shadow period until the end of the month. In this case, it would be too late for McCain to come back, barring some new and sensational revelation. In fact, Obama would be more likely to win in a landslide, just as the last Senator from Arizona to run for president experienced in 1964 (Barry Goldwater). The 1964 election was the last time we were within the orb of the Saturn-Uranus opposition.

Almost all the equity markets followed the same pattern last week. That is, most of them made a significant low last Friday, October 10, and then rallied strongly into Tuesday, October 14. Many rallied over 20% in those two trading days. But then each of these indices fell hard again into Thursday or Friday last week. In the case of the Netherlands AEX and London FTSE, the decline took out the lows of October 10. The German DAX and Swiss SMI did not, thus creating a case of intermarket bullish divergence in Europe. The same divergence occurred in America and the Far East. In the USA, the NASDAQ Composite futures made a lower low last week than the week before, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average did not. India’s Nifty and Australia’s All Ordinaries indices made new lows on Friday, October 17, but the Nikkei of Japan and Hang Seng of Hong Kong held above their lows of the prior week. In other markets, Crude Oil fell below $70.00/barrel last week, which means it has now fallen more than 50%, thus fulfilling our Uranus in Pisces forecast of a 50-90% decline from the all-time high of July 11, 2008 at $147.00/barrel. The decline could continue for 2 more years. Gold and Silver also fell sharply last week, as did grains, as the Dollar strengthened against most other major currencies.

Short-Term Geocosmics

 Last week’s report stated, “On a somewhat positive note, Venus ended its sextile-trine to that Saturn-Uranus opposition on Friday, October 10. That too could correspond to some relief, however temporary.” It lasted at least two days, then equities fell again into Thursday. In the USA, they rebounded from a secondary low on Thursday and now we will see if they continue up into the week of the election, when the powerful Saturn-Uranus opposition is exact.

 For this week, one of the more important signatures unfolding will be Venus ingressing into Sagittarius, October 18 through November 12. Sagittarius represents exaggeration. When positive, markets are optimistic and bullish. Prices rise sharply. When negative, markets enter a stage of panic and free fall. Of most concern here will be November 3 when Venus makes an exact T-square to the Saturn-Uranus opposition. This is a very tight “translation” of the larger Saturn-Uranus aspect. As we have seen in the past year, such “translations” have corresponded to steep declines. Therefore if the market rallies into the week of the election, be very careful. But if it declines steeply into the election, it may be the end of the decline, followed by a very sharp rally. Let the market guide you when it gets there.

Longer-Term Thoughts – Special Election Feature

 In late August, immediately following the Democratic Convention, I made a forecast in this column that John McCain would win this year’s Presidential election. One week later, in response to many emails from readers, I stated, “However, no one should assume I am entirely convinced that all the indicators favor a McCain election. I am far from confident due to the principles of Saturn and Uranus. Together, they represent the “unpredictable,” and plenty of surprises not only into the election, but even 20 months afterwards.”

 It appears my forecast of a McCain victory will be incorrect, although with so much Saturn-Uranus in effect, anything can still happen. This 45-year aspect itself is a classical “upset” signature. Does that mean Obama wins, and thus there is a change of leadership and direction in the USA? Yes, it could mean that. Or it could also mean that all the pre-election day polls say one thing, such as Obama wins, but then the actual election results yield a totally unexpected outcome. McCain wins. It could also mean that Obama wins in a landslide, with a much greater margin than anyone predicted. In short, with Saturn in opposition to Uranus on Election Day, and Venus making a T-square to it the day before, unexpected surprises and reversals may be the order of the day. And this doesn’t even take into account the Mars-Neptune square on Election Day, which pertains to claims – or realities - of voter fraud. Additionally, Uranus rules youth, and it apparent that a tremendous number of young people have registered to vote. This favors Obama, especially if they actually show up on Election Day.

 At this time, I will briefly review all the astrological signatures and themes I discussed during the summer in this column, and how they relate to each candidate’s platform, and my reasoning as to why each supports a certain candidate.

First, let’s consider the waning phase of the Saturn-Pluto cycle, in effect 2001-2020. This is typically a time when federal deficits and spending balloon out of control. Taxes go up, as do interest rates and bankruptcies. Based on the platforms of each candidate, I have stated that this cycle favors an Obama presidency, for he clearly proclaims that he will raise taxes on corporations, dividends, and income on the top 5% of wage earners. He also has ambitious spending programs. However, it could also now pertain to McCain, who has recently proposed an additional “bailout” or “rescue” program for home owners at the tune of $300 billion. This will expand the deficit too, making it very difficult to balance the budget and counteract this cyclical theme.

 Second, we consider the United States chart. I use July 2, 1776, but the relevant signatures I refer to can apply also to July 4, 1776. The transiting Saturn-Uranus opposition forms a T-square to the USA Mars-Neptune square into 2010. This is a signature that relates to the threat of war, or increased military conflict. I believed this favored a McCain presidency, for his platform is much more identified with national security issues than Obama’s. McCain wants to “win the war” in Iraq, and Obama is one of the very few people who was against this war in the first place. Obama wants to establish an exit date within 16 months of his presidency. However, one can also now make the case that Obama may be forced into military activity, given that his own natal Mars is in square to the USA Mars, and conjunct it’s Neptune. Unfortunately, this is not a signature of one who performs so well in a war situation. Also, as of late, Obama’s platform has changed considerably to be less averse to using the military, especially given his recent position on what must be done in Afghanistan, than he was when he started his campaign. Thus this aspect can favor him as much as it does McCain. Either is likely to be engaged in more military conflicts.

 The transit of Pluto, Uranus, and Saturn into cardinal signs (hence the “Cardinal Climax”) will form a grand square to the USA Venus-Jupiter conjunction in early Cancer through 2011. To me, this signifies the potential for a further collapse of the U.S. Dollar. Since the Dollar tends to stabilize under Democratic presidents, and fall under Republicans as of late, I believed this signature favored McCain, the Republican. However, the Federal Reserve Board chart (December 23, 1913) is also under the influence of this major T-square, with its Sun-Pluto opposition in very early Capricorn and Cancer. This implies a radical overhaul of the FRB and its leadership. I thought that would be more likely under a Democratic president, and thus favored Obama.

 On the day of the election, the Moon will conjunct Jupiter in Capricorn. It is my belief that this favors the candidate with more experience, more maturity, and the older one of the two. That would be McCain, except that in the past month, Obama has arguably been the more “mature” one. On the day of election, this Moon-Jupiter conjunction is a repeat of what took place in the New Hampshire primary in early February. My observation at the time was that one of the two winners in New Hampshire primary would likely be the next president. Hillary Clinton and John McCain staged upset victories in New Hampshire, and thus this favored McCain as well.

 Next, we consider the natal charts of the candidates themselves, and transits to it. There are more presidents with Mars in Leo than any other sign (10). McCain has Mars in Leo, while Obama’s Mars is in Virgo (5). This favors McCain, although we note that George W. Bush also has Mars in Virgo. But the transiting Saturn-Uranus opposition hits right on McCain’s natal Saturn in opposition to his Venus and Neptune conjunction. This is very strong September through November, the time in which McCain’s popularity has sunk dramatically. This is especially consistent with the theme of transiting Saturn to one’s natal Venus-Neptune. Additionally, Mercury rules McCain’s Virgo Sun, and his popularity plummeted around the time Mercury went retrograde. Can he recover enough between now and the election as Mercury turns direct? It might depend upon the power of the Mercury “shadow period,” and whether that concept is valid or not. The “shadow period” doesn’t end until October 30. There would not likely be enough time to stage a comeback if his numbers wait until then to improve.

 And finally, the stock market indicator. If the stock market is going down into an election, it favors victory for the party not in office. If it goes up into election, it favors the party in office. This indicator is sharply favoring Barack Obama now, and has since the full moon of September 15, which was in conjunction with Uranus, and coincided with the disastrous “reassurance speech” by Treasury Secretary Hank Paulsen that coincided with the crisis phase of this bear market in stocks. That is when the market broke through all our technical levels supporting the possibility of a bull market. However, I do think his decisive actions of the past week to deal with this crisis are positive. But that is another discussion for one of the following weeks

Right now I would have to say that Obama looks poised to win the presidential election. Even though this is not in alignment with my forecast, I am pleased to report that at the Presidential Election panel at UAC, all seven of the Mundane astrologers present predicted an Obama victory, so this is not a case of astrology not working, but rather the astrologer (me) looking at different indicators and making a different decision than his colleagues. No one is always right, including me. This also demonstrates the complexity of astrology and the judgments involved in making forecasts. Some of the factors that I considered previously in forecasting a McCain victory have now changed, as you see above, and others I may have given importance to as favoring McCain can now be seen to apply just as strongly to Obama, such as the possibility of war and increased military activities, which – prior to September – I thought would be more important. Now, with the crash of the stock market, the economy and personal finances have become the major issue. As I stated before, I was not and am not confident of a McCain victory as I forecasted in late August. But with Saturn in opposition to Uranus on Election Day, and Venus “translating” that opposition in a T-square on November 3, I cannot rule out a surprising upset – or some other surprise - at the very last moment.

Regardless of who wins, a new era will begin. In fact, it has already started. And that is the message of Saturn in opposition to Uranus.

 

Announcements




The “Forecast 2012” webcast will take place on Sunday, February 19, starting at 1:00 PM EST (that’s 6:00 PM GMT or 10:00 AM PST). Via the modern technology of our webinar host, you can log onto this presentation on current markets (both long-term and short-term outlooks) and the political-psychological climate for 2012, in the comfort of your home or office. All you need is a computer with speakers. You can hear the speech and see the live presentation and slide show, complete with the charts as they are being discussed, on your computer screen. The cost for this special event is $45.00. If you are interested in being part of this unique live webcast, just register at the MMA Website (www.mmacycles.com) and scroll down the opening screen for the announcement. Or drop us an email (ordersmma@msn.com) or fax (248-538-5296), or call us at 1-248-626-3034. Instructions to log into this event will be sent upon making reservations. Reserve early (before February 17), for space will be limited.

Many of you have asked about DVD’s or CD’s on the “Forecast 2012 Mini-Congress on January 21 in Amsterdam that I participated in. On the program were also three other excellent speakers on the subject: Irma Schogt of Schogt Market Timing in Amsterdam, plus world renowned astrologer Katen Hammaker-Zondag (specialist in the future of the Euro zone and Euro currency) and Antonia Langsdorf, of Cologne, Germany, who wrote “The Eye of the Storm,” a best-selling rendition about the year 2012 from the point of view of Mayan schools and astrologers. These recording will soon be available through Irma Schogt. We will announce when they will be available, probably within the week. You check in with us next week, or contact Irma directly at www.markettiming.nl.

 

If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with position trading and aggressive trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF’s (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers: “I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations.  I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA.  In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $712,000 (now $850,000).  Thanks for your excellent publications.” - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.


Copies of the printed version of Forecast 2012 are still available. There will be no additional printings, so when they are gone, they are gone. This year’s book is 200 pages – our largest ever – and packed full of information about the economy, USA Presidential election, social and economic trends, and of course, financial markets with their all-important three-star critical reversal dates (the one and two-star reversal dates are covered in the MMA Cycles Report, as well as weekly reports). For further information, please go to the front page of our web site at www.mmacycles.com, Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.

The E-Book version of the Forecast 2012 Book is now out as well in two different formats. The first is our own version, which contains both the text and the calendar-ephemeris for 2012. The cost for this is $55.00, or $35.00, depending on whether you also ordered the printed version too.  The second is through Apple iTunes, which covers iPhone 4 and 4S, and the iPad, and also Amazon.com Kindle. The cost is $39.99. It does not contain the advertisements or the planetary calendar and ephemeris in the back. You can now order it if you have an email address registered via one of these 9 countries (USA, UK, Australia, France, Canada, Italy, Portugal, Slovenia, and Spain). Just go to iTunes, and then “Library,” then “Store,” then in the field titled “Search,” type in “Forecast 2012” or “Raymond Merriman” (without quotation marks). Or, go to http://itunes.apple.com/us/artist/raymond-merriman/id408289861?mt=11.

“After reading the annual Forecasts and subscribing to MMA Cycles for the past ten years, I can say that Ray Merriman's forecasts are uncannily accurate and indispensable for the preservation of wealth. Nothing else I've seen compares. It is without a doubt the best perspective on the big picture, not just bits and pieces of the picture.”
W.W., Investor and Teacher, Indiana.


Our new 2012 MMA Catalogue is now out!! You can download this catalogue directly at http://www.mmacycles.com/index.php?option=com_docman&task=cat_view&gid=41&Itemid=63.

Events:

February 19, 2012: “Forecast 2012 Worldwide Webcast!!!” This is our annual speech to viewers the world over. It will be the latest update on Raymond Merriman’s annual Forecast Book. Utilizing the study of cycles and geocosmic factors, this speech will focus on the current state of the economy, political situation in Washington, DC, and in particular, the financial markets, including: the U.S. stock market, interest rates, the U.S. Dollar, Gold, and Silver. This will be a telecast of the live presentation taking place at the Michigan Education Conference Center in Troy, Michigan on Square Lake Road. The webcast and speech will start at 1:00 PM, EST and last two hours. Cost to participate in the webcast, or to attend in person in Troy, is $45.00. Go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/multimedia/forecast-2012-live-webcast-february-19,-2012!!!/ for more information.

March 1 and 3, 2012: Hong Kong. “Forecast 2012” on Thursday, March 1, and a full day intensive on “Financial Market Timing” on Saturday, March 3, with emphasis on Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Organized by Earlthorn.Com at the Excelsior Hotel, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Contact Teresa Wong at 852-2529 1211 (phone), or by e-mail at earlthorn@hknet.com. A special 90-minute private meeting with MMA Subscribers will follow the workshop on March 3. You must reserve your space for this meeting with MMA.

March 9-11, 2012: The 12th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a pre-seminar workshop with Raymond Merriman. For further information on this fantastic gathering, contact www.keplerunited.org. +381-11-267-31-92 or email info@keplerunited.org.

April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado. “Forecast 2012” with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on “Financial Market Timing,” focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com. Once again, a private meeting for MMA subscribers will follow the workshop.

May 24-29, 2012: UAC!!! The world’s largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world. There will be private meeting for MMA on Friday or Sunday evening on the top floor of the Marriott.

June 23: Amsterdam. A special 5-hour workshop on “The Gold Market: Forecasting the Price of Gold” Details to be announced shortly, but mark your calendars for an exciting event in one of the world’s most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year: the first Uranus-Pluto square!

August 2-6, 2012: Midwest Astrology Conference, in Ann Arbor, MI, Holiday Inn. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology, Thursday, August 2, with Raymond Merriman. More details soon.

September 14-15, 2012: San Diego: Lecture on world economy and national election, and then a workshop on Financial Market Timing. More details shortly.
details soon.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose:

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.

It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

Copyright MMACycles 2007; you may link to this site or page, but you may not distribute these texts in any way (by email or otherwise).

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