Forecast 2019 Scorecard- As of November 7, 2019
November 07, 2019
Although 2019 is not yet over, several forecasts made in Forecast 2019 have already unfolded. Below are a few of the forecasts as of August 2019, and this list will continue to be updated. Keep in mind, these forecasts were written in October-November 2018, and published December 2018, well before 2019 was underway.
ECONOMIC AND MARKET FORECASTS FOR 2019 (made prior to December 2018)
The U.S. Stock Market and DJIA: “Cycle studies suggest the crest of a 4-year cycle will be completed by October 2019 and probably before the end of July 2019… You can also see from this graph that long-term cycle highs tend to occur when helio Jupiter is in Sagittarius, which is in effect October 6, 2018 through October 19, 2019… Jupiter transiting through Sagittarius is a reason to think that the U.S. stock market could make yet another high, above the all-time high of October 3, 2018. With this study in mind, we will look for the high of October 3, 2018, to be tested, and even taken out in 2019.” The DJIA did make a new all-time high of 27,398 on July 16, above the high of the previous year. After a significant decline into mid-August and early October, the DJIA soared again to new highs in early November. The 2019 Book also mentioned in the conclusion, “Investors are advised to look for a high by July 2019, and possibly extending into 2020, but be cautious, because a severe decline is scheduled to begin with that high and last into 2021-2023.” So, there was a high in July, and now as we enter the last two months of the year and prepare for early 2020, stock indices are making new highs.