Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview

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Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on April 14, 2018 .

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Mercury retrograde, the “Trickster,” has had its usual impact of coinciding with conflicting signals in the world political arena. This, in turn, has resulted in road-runner-like financial markets during the last three weeks. First off, equity markets have exhibited large price swings back and forth every 1-4 trading days. Secondly, when stock indices fell hard in the middle of the retrograde zone, they...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on April 07, 2018 .

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Nonfarm payrolls rose by 103,000 in March, well below economist expectations of 193,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. However, February's number was revised higher and the longer-term trend of strong growth looked intact. - Jeff Cox, “Nonfarm Payrolls Increase by 103,000 in March, vs 193,000 Jobs Expected,” www.cnbc.com, April 6, 2018.

 

The trade dispute itself cannot really be called a...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on March 30, 2018 .

 

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The price of bitcoin is on track for its worst quarter performance ever. The price of the cryptocurrency has fallen from $13,412 on January 1 to $7266 on March 30, marking more than a 45% decline… At a G-20 meeting this month, Argentina's central bank governor outlined a summer deadline for members to have "specific recommendations on what to do" and said task forces are working to submit proposals by...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on March 23, 2018 .

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Stocks fell sharply on Friday, adding to their steep weekly losses, as investors assessed the possibility of a trade war brewing between the U.S. and China. Week to date, the major averages posted their worst week since January 2016. – Fred Imbert, “Dow Drops More Than 400 Points Into Correction, Posts Worst Week Since January 2016,” www.cnbc.com, March 23, 2018.

 

Stocks fall as markets doubt the...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on March 17, 2018 .

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Worries of escalating trade wars could be a longer-term negative for the dollar, even as the currency gets a temporary lift ahead of the Fed's meeting next week. The dollar is seeing some support as the markets anticipate that the Fed will raise interest rates by a quarter-point next Wednesday. But the dollar has also been buffeted by other headlines, including threats of a trade war...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on March 09, 2018 .

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The economy added 313,000 jobs in February, far surpassing Wall Street expectations…. Economists surveyed by Reuters had been expecting nonfarm payroll growth of 200, Wage growth came in less than expected, rising 0.1 percent for the month and 2.6 percent on an annualized basis… President Donald Trump signed two declarations on Thursday, which would implement tariffs on steel and...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on March 03, 2018 .

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Trump announced Thursday that he will impose a 25 percent tariff on steel and a 10 percent tariff on aluminum as early as next week. “Trump Doubles Down: 'Trade Wars are Good, and Easy to Win,'” www.cnbc.com, March 2, 2018.

 

He took credit for the stock market’s spectacular rise in 2017. Now Donald Trump may have to own what could turn out to be the beginning of the...

Posted by in Raymond Merriman's Weekly Preview on February 24, 2018 .

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"Investors eye 3% on the Ten-Year Notes (i.e. 120 area) with concern as it intersects a trendline that has led to crashes/bear markets since 1980," Thomas Lee, founder and head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, said in a note. "But, as we noted a few weeks ago, interest rates are moving higher from ultra-low levels and like 1950s-1960s, this period saw higher rates [and]...