MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING JUNE 20, 2022 ©

NOTE: U.S. markets are closed Monday in observance of the Juneteenth holiday 

The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 led a mixed market Friday, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average pulled back as investors wrapped the worst stretch since the pandemic amid inflation and recession fears. In commodities, oil fell 9.2% to $109.56 per barrel for the week. – “U.S. Stocks Close Our Worst Week Since the Pandemic,” www.foxbusiness.com, June 17, 2022.

The Fed has a classic dilemma. Inflation is mainly driven by either prices it cannot control (commodity related) or prices no one pays (owners’ equivalent rent, which is signaling a rising price of home ownership when most US homeowners pay a lower price than two years’ ago). Many prices the Fed can influence are in disinflation or outright deflation (over 3% of the CPI basket has year-on-year deflation). The Fed’s dilemma is how much more deflation to create in prices it can control, to offset the inflation in prices it cannot control. Dr. Paul Donovan, economist, “How Much Deflation?” UBS Morning Audio Comment, www.ubs.com, June 13, 2022. 

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This is getting pretty ugly. You get the feeling that Jamie Dimon and Elon Musk might be right when they stated in the last couple of weeks (and quoted here), regarding financial markets, something like: “Houston. Houston! We have a problem.” Continue reading…

MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING NOVEMBER 8, 2021 ©

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Broad-based strength in hiring in October signals the economy is shaking off the Covid-related slump of the third quarter and could grow faster than expected in the fourth quarter. Employment increased by 531,000 in the month. The unemployment rate fell to 4.6%. Revisions to prior months’ data also added a total of 235,000 more payrolls in August and September. – Patti Domm, “Strong Jobs Report Shows Economy Back on Track for Further Growth,” www.cnbc.com, November 5, 2021.

Stock markets were strong again last week, as several made new all-time highs into last week’s new Moon in Scorpio, opposite Uranus on November 4. These included the DJIA, S&P, and NASDAQ in the U.S., and DAX and AEX in Europe. Other markets enjoyed nice rallies, albeit not to new all-time highs. The exceptions were in China, Hong Kong, India, and Brazil, which all fell to new 4-week lows. With Uranus, you seldom get uniformity. Its nature is more non-conforming and can be followed by abrupt movements.

The abruptness of Uranus was most notable in precious metals, especially Gold, which fell to a three-week low on Wednesday, and by Friday was making a new two-month high. This is in alignment with Mars in Scorpio now, and points to higher prices as long as last week’s low holds. Ethereum was also highlighted last week as it soared to a new all-time high, but Bitcoin did not. With Uranus in the cosmic limelight, and in the money sign of Taurus, we can expect some fireworks here too as we approach December 24, when the last exact waning square aspect with Saturn takes place. It just happens to be within a week of Venus turning retrograde as well, in conjunction to Pluto. Venus and Pluto rule stable currencies, as does Taurus, and Uranus rules cryptos, another form of currency, which many are trying to make “stable currencies.” With Uranus in Taurus, that may not be likely for a while. Continue reading…

MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING AUGUST 23, 2021 ©

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“Market narrative may thus turn more cautious, as concerns about peaking growth rates, delta variant and policy mistakes may prove headwinds, at a time when seasonality and technicals are unfavorable.” – Barclays equity strategists, “Dow Rebounds 200 Points But Closes out a Losing Week,” www.cnbc.com, August 20, 2021.

A magnitude 7.2 earthquake violently shook Haiti on Saturday morning, a devastating blow to an impoverished country reeling from a presidential assassination last month and still recovering from a disastrous quake more than 11 years ago. “Strong Earthquake Rocks Haiti, Killing Hundreds,” New York Times, August 18, 2021.

August 110 finds the Sun in Leo forming a T-square now to the Saturn/Uranus square, forming yet another fixed T-square. This implies more disturbances, unexpected events and disruptions, and possible difficulties caused by inclement weather (hurricanes, tornadoes, high winds, earthquakes, electrical failures, disruptions in the internet, and terrorist activities). Yet another round of unexpected events and disruptions follow when Uranus turns retrograde on August 19 (ET), followed by the Sun/Jupiter opposition the next day, August 20. Within a week of this period, Mother Nature may hemorrhage, as these are very powerful reversal signatures for global stock markets. – Raymond Merriman, Forecast 2021, page 160.

It was a typical Uranus atypical week for financial markets and global geopolitical miscues. Continue reading…

MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING FEBRUARY 15, 2021 ©

Note. Markets are closed Monday for the Presidents’ Day holiday. 

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“Bitcoin is almost as bs as fiat money.” Elon Musk, who just purchased $1.5 billion of Bitcoin and drove the price up towards $50,000.

India’s government plans to introduce a bill in the country’s lower house that would ban private cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin and create a national cryptocurrency. – Abigail Johnson Hess, “India Might Ban Private Cryptocurrencies Like Bitcoin,” January 30, 2021, www.cnbc.com.

It may be Mercury retrograde, but the Trickster is showing no sign that the bull market in stocks or Bitcoin is letting up. Continue reading…

MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING FEBRUARY 8, 2021 ©

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U.S. equity markets finished in record territory Friday after Congress paved the way for President Biden’s $1.9 trillion COVID-19 aid package and the jobs report showed a drop in the unemployment rate. Stocks rose despite a ho-hum jobs report with the addition of 49,000 jobs in January as the unemployment rate fell to 6.3%, according to the Labor Department. In Washington, the upper chamber of Congress early Friday morning voted 51-50, with Vice President Kamala Harris casting the tie-breaking vote, to adopt a budget resolution for coronavirus relief. Later on Friday, the measure was passed by the House. – Jonathan Garber, “S&P 500, NASDAQ Hit Records as Congress Nears $1.9T Coronavirus Relief,” www.foxbusiness.com, February 5, 2021. 

Like Punxsutawney Phil on Groundhog Day 2021, the “Trickster” – Mercury retrograde – was front and center last week. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow on Tuesday, February 2, and returned to his burrow in the ground and thus forecasting six more weeks of winter. The “Trickster” also began its reversal through the cosmos last weekend, on January 30. Just before Mercury’s backwardation began, world equity markets experienced their most bearish technical ending to a week in since late October. That bearish setup on Friday, January 29, was abruptly negated on Monday, February 1, as world stock indices and other financial markets quickly reversed and returned to their former trends. It was like Groundhog Day all over again, just one day ahead of schedule. Continue reading…

MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING JANUARY 4, 2021 ©

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From the beginning, the intention each week was to try to answer these questions: What’s happening? What’s true? Are you seeing it too? Then we’re not alone! The key is to try to say clearly what you believe to be true, even if it makes people mad. Especially if they get mad – that means you’re over the target. This little space was in the thick of it. What did it feel like? Like what it is, a privilege, to be part of it, to get to say what you see, especially in this of all years. – Peggy Noonan, “A Look Back at the Pandemic Year,” Wall Street Journal, December 26-27, 2020.

Peggy Noonan’s comments above on celebrating 20 years of writing her weekly column in the Wall Street Journal reflects my own approach to writing this column, which started 22 years ago.

The year 2020 started out with a bang and ended with a bang, with a big bang along the way. That is, the year 2020 started with new all-time or multi-year highs in several world stock indices. Then came the pandemic and all indices collapsed 30-45%, except China, whose stock market only dropped 15%. And now, in the last week of that eventful year that will always be remembered for the world-wide pandemic, many stock indices closed out at record or multi-year highs – but not in China. Continue reading…

MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING DECEMBER 21, 2020 ©

PLEASE NOTE: There will be no weekly column next week. On behalf of everyone at MMA, we wish you a happy holiday season and a healthy and prosperous New Year!

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The stock market appears set on rising into 2021 — a year expected to see some return to normalcy, above trend economic growth, and a higher stock market, according to Wall Street strategists. Those in CNBC’s survey expect an average 2021 year-end target of 4,056, or about a 9.5% gain from current levels… Vaccines are expected to liberate individuals from pandemic restrictions and in turn, free the economy as 2021 progresses. Work from home should shift back to work at the office – Patti Domm, “Wall Street Strategists See Stocks Gaining 9% in 2021”, www.cnbc.com, December 18, 2020.

The one problem with the above quote is that Jupiter and Saturn are conjoining one another, and both will square Uranus in the next two months. Nothing goes quite as expected when Uranus is in the house. And with Jupiter involved, it tends to go way off the expected course. Continue reading…

MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING DECEMBER 14, 2020 ©

BREAKING NEWS: Shortly after the weekly column below was released Friday evening, “… the Supreme Court rejected a bid launched by Texas and backed by President Donald Trump that sought to undo Joe Biden’s election wins in the key swing states of Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The ruling dealt a death blow to Trump’s desperate and unsuccessful efforts to reverse Biden’s projected Electoral College victory.”

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The economic recovery has downshifted, with job growth slowing and layoffs persisting at a high level amid rising coronavirus cases and related restrictions. The number of workers seeking unemployment benefits climbed sharply by 137,000 to 853,000 last week, the Labor Department reported.– Eric Morath, “Unemployment Claims Increase Sharply,” Wall Street Journal, December 11, 2020.

It seems to be a case of buying the rumor, selling the fact.

Stock markets were on a tear this past month due to anticipation of new COVID-19 vaccines being readied for release. Last week, many were approved, and some vaccine programs actually started, such as in the U.K. Many equity markets made new all-time highs again last week, such as in the U.S. and India, and others like Japan’s Nikkei, made multi-decade highs, right into our December 8-9 two-star geocosmic critical reversal date. But then the rallies on “the fact” started pulling back into the end of the week. Several even made new monthly lows, as in the DAX and SMI in Europe and the Shanghai Composite in China. It didn’t help that a stimulus relief package was on again (hope, rumor) but then taken off for the 19th nervous breakdown of U.S. Congressional leaders, leading to the pullback in the U.S. Continue reading…

MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING DECEMBER 7, 2020 ©

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The U.S. economy added just 245,000 jobs in November, sharply missing expectations and pointing to a slowdown in the labor market’s recovery from the coronavirus pandemic as a surge of new infections triggered a fresh wave of shutdowns by state and local governments. The Labor Department’s monthly payroll report, released Friday, also showed the unemployment rate fell to 6.7% from 6.9%. Economists surveyed by Refinitiv expected the report to show that unemployment dropped to 6.8% and the economy added 469,000 jobs. – Megan Henney, “U.S. Job Growth Slows in November as Coronavirus Surge Threatens Economic Recovery,” www.foxbusinessnews.com, December 4, 2020. Continue reading…

MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING NOVEMBER 30, 2020 ©

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average vaulted above 30,000 for the first time, a remarkable rally that lifted the stock market to records even in the midst of a devastating pandemic. Tuesday’s advance came after President Trump said his administration would cooperate with President-elect Joe Biden’s transition to the White House, giving investors hope that the country would have a smooth transition of power. More broadly, much of the market’s rise has been powered by building hopes that scientists are on the brink of pushing out vaccines effective enough to fight the novel coronavirus. – Arkane Otani, “Dow Eclipses 30,000 for the First Time,” Wall Street Journal, November 25, 2020. 

It was a very nice Thanksgiving gift for investors. It also correlates with the movement of the Sun into Sagittarius last week, the sign that just loves to break records and give cause for celebration. With Sagittarius, everything is enlarged. And even if it’s not, just the proclamation that “it is” will often suffice. It is the spirit of something that matters in Sagittarius, not the facts. However, facts that are supportive can certainly add to the spirit of optimism that is the trademark of Sagittarius. It also helps that Neptune is turning stationary direct this weekend. A little irrational exuberance is always good for the holiday spirit. Continue reading…