MMA FREE WEEKLY COLUMN FOR THE WEEK BEGINNING NOVEMBER 18, 2024
November 15, 2024
REVIEW
Stocks tumbled on Friday as the postelection rally fizzled and investors fretted over the path of interest rates… October retail sales data on Friday showed a 0.4% increase, slightly better than the 0.3% forecast from economists polled by Dow Jones…. Traders also grappled with recent comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who said on Thursday that the central bank wasn’t “in a hurry” to cut interest rates. He noted that the economy’s strong growth will permit policymakers to take their time as they decide the extent to which they reduce rates.
—Brian Evans and Alex Harring, “Dow Closes 300 Points Lower Friday as Rate Worries Hinder Postelection Rally,” www.cnbc.com, November 15, 2024.
Stocks pulled back last week from their historic highs in October and early November.
In Asia and the Pacific Rim, the Indian NIFTY stock index got hit the hardest, dropping to a new 20-week low, even below the low of August 5. The Hang Seng index of Hong Kong fell to its lowest level in seven weeks. But even though the Australian ASX, Chinese SSE, and Japanese Nikkei indices all fell, the declines were not dramatic and still well above their monthly lows.
In Europe, the DAX dropped to its lowest level in 7 weeks. Its all-time high was on October 17, which was a strong MMA geocosmic critical reversal zone (also shown in the Forecast 2024 Book). The Netherlands AEX, London FTSE, and Zurich SMI got slammed harder, each falling to its lowest levels since its primary cycles began with the low 14 weeks ago, on August 5, as Mercury turned retrograde. The Trickster will return again shortly.
The U.S. markets started the week on fire again, with new all-time highs in the DJIA, NASDAQ, and S&P Monday-Wednesday. However, each began to fall hard by Friday on thoughts that the economy is still strong and the Fed may not continue lowering rates as soon as expected. Saturn ending its retrograde period and turning direct on Friday might have something to do with this newfound cautionary sense., especially given that Venus entered the skeptical sign of Capricorn on November 11 as the highs were being made. We discussed that last week as “Venus will leave the expansive and optimistic sign of Sagittarius for the more skeptical and prove-it-to-me sign of Capricorn (November 11). Venus (money and love) won’t settle for promises now. It wants to see deliverables on those promises. That dynamic is reinforced with Saturn, the ruler of Capricorn, turning direct on November 15.” These cash markets gapped down on Friday, with the NASDAQ even forming a “bearish island reversal” (a “gap down” below an area that was part of a recent “gap up”).
Gold and Silver also tumbled last week, with both falling to their lowest levels in 9 weeks. Since its all-time high just above 2800 on October 30, Gold plunged to 2541 on November 14. Likewise, Silver fell sharply last week to 29.75 after posting its multi-year high of 35.07 back on October 22-23. Bitcoin was more similar to the stock market, soaring to a new all-time high of 93,480 on November 13 but then pausing to go sideways in what appears to be a “bull flag” pattern. Crude Oil was not so fortunate, falling for the fourth time to the 65.00-67.00 support area over the past two months.
SHORT-TERM GEOCOSMICS
It is remarkable that by the end of this election, Donald Trump actually ran successfully on restoring “common sense.” I guess it’s a powerful idea again.
—Daniel Henninger, “The Trump Protests Fizzle,” Wall Street Journal, November 13, 2024.
The first wave of nominees to the Trump administration announced this week included normal Republicans. All are grown-up players who have political histories that preceded Donald Trump. But the second wave—Pete Hegseth as defense secretary? … As for Matt Gaetz being nominated as attorney general—well, this is just straight-out trolling, right? The four-term Florida congressman has won a reputation as disruptive, divisive, aggressive, lacking in groundedness and wisdom, and dogged by ethics allegations. He seems to see politics as an offshoot of showbiz and has entertained his followers with successive attempts to take down GOP leaders in the House, on behalf of—well, it’s never quite clear.
—Peggy Noonan, “Trump Keeps Trolling as the ‘Resistance’ Fades,” www.wsj.com, November 14, 2024.
Right on time, and right as Saturn turns stationary direct, markets are declining as investor sentiment changes from confident to cautious. Not only are Saturn and Capricorn highlighted now, but November 15 is also a Full Moon conjunct Uranus, the planet of disruption.
Saturn turning direct is a strong Level 1 signature, which means it correlates with primary cycles in over 2/3 of historical cases within 10 trading days. The Sun/Uranus opposition on November 16 is a Level 2 signature but it has a high correlation to sharp reversal swings within only 4 trading days. There was a high November 11-13, and these studies indicate there will be a low by November 20. Then the concern becomes: can the next rally make a new all-time high in all three U.S. markets? If not, then we have a case of intermarket bearish divergence in the U.S. There are already several cases of intermarket divergence throughout the world. For instance, the German DAX and Australian ASX made new all-time highs on October 17, and the Indian NIFTY on September 27. They aren’t making new all-time highs together, which is a pattern seen when long-term cycles top out.
Also of concern is that November is the seventh month following the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction of April 20. Historically, if U.S. stock indices are making new highs into the Jupiter/Uranus conjunction, the rally tends to top out by the seventh month afterward.
We may have a better idea of whether global stock indices are still bullish or in the early stages of a healthy 10% or greater decline as we approach Mars turning retrograde and Neptune turning direct December 6-9. At the same time, the Sun will be in opposition to Jupiter, one of the strongest geocosmic reversal indicators we have uncovered in our research studies.
We haven’t seen a 10% decline in U.S. stocks since October 2022. It’s overdue. Based on my analysis of U.S. stocks for the Forecast 2025 book, I think we could see more than one double-digit decline in 2025 as the three-year cycle comes due mid-year.
Mercury will also be turning retrograde soon, November 26-December 15. We already see the Trickster at work as it entered its “shadow period” on November 7. It turns retrograde right on President Trump’s natal Moon and in direct opposition to his natal Sun/Uranus in Gemini. Promises were made, but …. well, we will probably see signs of “the weave” again. For reasons unknown to many, the voters elected him to be the one to lead the world into and through the Aries Vortex. It is starting to look like a new Disney ride, perhaps competing with “Mr. Toad’s Wild Ride.” And we thought we were voting for common sense. Actually, we were. It’s still Jupiter in its waxing phase to Saturn, a time when moderates regain power from the extremists in political ideology. The wish is there. The vote was there. Will the actors now play their role and lead us by “common sense” as promised? Or is everyone in politics a Trickster?
ANNOUNCEMENTS
NOTE 1: THE NOVEMBER ISSUE OF THE MONTHLY MMA CYCLES REPORT WAS ISSUED LAST WEEK. With stocks breaking out to another new all-time high last week and Gold selling off into its expected 50-week cycle trough, this edition is very timely! The MMA Monthly Cycles Report covers the outlook for the U.S. stock market, Gold, Silver, Copper, Treasuries, the Euro currency, Crude Oil, and Soybeans. The MMA Monthly Cycles Report also provides MMA’s original geocosmic critical reversal dates (CRDs) and solar/lunar reversal dates over the next several weeks, as well as trading strategies for both position and aggressive traders. If you want to try out a one-month subscription to the MMA Monthly Cycles Report, you can sign up for the November Report for only $35! Or save by ordering a three-report or twelve-report subscription.241118w
NOTE 2: THE NEXT SCHEDULED “SPECIAL MMA OPTIONS WEBINAR” with Derek Panaia and hosted by Raymond Merriman will take place on Sunday, December 8, which is MMA’s next three-star critical reversal date (CRD) zone (Dec. 6-9). Our market timing indicators project major moves in several markets near this time. We want to be prepared with limited-risk option strategies on Gold, Silver, the S&P, and possibly Crude Oil, Copper, and/or Soybeans, as primary cycle (or secondary) lows or highs may occur then. The cost will again be $95, but we will also offer an Options+ package, that will include at least three additional follow-ups from Derek as technical signals unfold after the webinar. The cost of “Options +” will be $195. SAVE THE DATE: Sunday, December 8, at 1:00 PM EST (that’s 7 PM in Zurich, Frankfurt, Amsterdam, and Paris, and 10 AM in Los Angeles). Click here to register! Note: Keep in mind that options trading is speculative, and this webinar is designed for speculators who have some basic knowledge of options. For those who don’t have that basic knowledge, MMA offers a recording of Derek’s webinar on option principles on its website.
NOTE 3: FORECAST 2025 IS ON SCHEDULE AND IS DUE OUT IN ONE MONTH!!!
MMA’s annual Forecast book is an astrological-themed almanac that has served students of cycles and markets since 1976. It provides a cyclical outlook on the collective world psychology, national economy, geopolitical overview, socio-cultural trends, weather and natural calamity potential, as well as financial market projections for the U.S. stock market, the U.S. Treasury market, interest rates, Gold and Silver, currencies (the Euro, U.S. Dollar, Swiss Franc, and Japanese Yen), Bitcoin, Crude Oil, and Grain markets. Its valuable market timing forecasts are based on the historical correlation of market cycles overlapping with geocosmic planetary cycles. Additionally, it provides the three-star critical reversal dates for each market for the year, which have an 80+% accuracy over the years for trading cycle highs and lows when given an orb of three trading days. The book is approximately 200 pages, 8.5″ x 11″, and has set the standard for all astrological almanacs written today.
The scorecard for Forecast 2024, as of October 8, 2024, is now available for viewing by clicking here.
The FORECAST 2025 print edition is available at the rate of $66, but copies will be limited. The eBook version is available for $55 and does not have a limit.
MMA is also offering a special “bundle” discount rate for those who wish to order both the eBook and printed editions of Forecast 2025 for $86. The eBook usually comes out 1-2 weeks before the print edition and avoids delays caused by the postal system, especially for those who live overseas. Yet many readers prefer the print edition, so ordering both via the Forecast 2025 Bundle makes sense. You will receive the Forecast 2025 eBook on December 15, and the print copy will be mailed shortly thereafter in mid-December.
There will also be an audiobook version of Forecast 2025 available by December 15. This audio version will not include the financial markets nor the ephemeris and geocosmic calendar for each month that will be included in the print and eBook versions. The cost of this abridged audio version will be $29, and it makes an excellent companion when working out or driving.
To pre-order Forecast 2025 now, please click here.
NOTE 4: YOUR PERSONAL “JUPITER REPORT” — YOUR MOMENTS OF OPPORTUNITY” — IS NOW AVAILABLE and makes an excellent holiday gift for your family and friends!!! This newest product is written by Raymond Merriman. It is a 30-40 page report that all traders (and even non-traders) will find to be of great value. It identifies the times during the year when Jupiter transits are highlighted in your natal chart. It delineates the meaning of Jupiter’s transits to your natal planets and angles over a 14-month period (including one month before your order and one month after the year ends). Why is this valuable? Because transits of Jupiter identify special opportunities for financial gains, success in one’s career and social life, popularity, and good fortune (luck) when under harmonious aspects and used correctly. However, they can also indicate periods of misjudgments leading to losses if Jupiter is afflicted and one is not properly prepared. As an added bonus, each transit is ranked from –3 to +3 in terms of favorability for trading. Traders may find this most valuable! Would you like to know when you are under a +3 transit and, therefore, most likely to experience trading successes? Or a –3 transit with stronger-than-usual potential for misjudgments and losses? You betcha! The cost for your 14-month Jupiter Report is $69. Click here to order!!!
Here is what others say about the new Jupiter Report, which was launched less than one month ago:
“I want to let you know how much I like the Jupiter Report. It is very detailed and informative! The graphs with the orb dates are very helpful.” — D.M.
“The new report on Jupiter is very well done. The interpretations are insightful and inspiring, and the report itself is aesthetically pleasing and extremely informative as well as easy to read.” — H.V.A.
NOTE 5: THE MMA Solar-Lunar App now offers reversal signals on the NASDAQ to all subscribers! Now there are four markets with daily weighted values provided: the DJIA, NASDAQ, Gold, and Silver.
This app is an ideal tool to have in your back pocket if you are a short-term swing trader looking for high-probability dates that identify isolated lows and highs in the DJIA, NASDAQ, Gold, and Silver markets. Since it was first introduced three months ago, it has been uncannily accurate in identifying swing lows and highs in each market. It is available only on Apple products (iPhone and iPad) at this time, although we are getting close to developing it for Android phones, too, possibly by the end of this year.
How does it work? Based on historical frequencies, the higher the weighted value, the greater the probability of a swing trade reversal in the next 1-7 trading days (usually 2-5 days). Built into the app are instructions for ideal setups and explanatory FAQs. It’s pretty amazing!
P.S. The MMA Solar/Lunar App gives each market an average of one trade per week every five trading days. It is designed for “swing trades” looking for 2-5% moves from isolated lows or highs. If you like active trading signals based on solar/lunar combinations, the MMA App is for you!
To learn more about the MMA App, click here. To order it, go to Apple’s App Store and type in Merriman Solar/Lunar Reversals.
NOTE 6: The MMA Weekly YouTube show, “Geocosmic Week in Review and Look Ahead,” with Gianni Di Poce, is conducted on Wednesday evenings! Each 5- to 20-minute FREE episode reviews the previous week’s market activity and offers a preview of the geocosmic signatures in effect for the coming week and beyond.
NOTE 7: MMA’s Free Weekly Column Podcast Is Available on SPOTIFY, APPLE, and AMAZON! Now you can listen to a podcast of this weekly column by Thomas Miller on Saturdays! Thomas has an excellent voice and brings the weekly column to life in a personable and, at times, humorous fashion. Just follow Merriman Market Analyst on Spotify or Apple to listen to all our episodes. A new podcast episode will be released every weekend. This is a FREE service and is available to everyone. Check out our podcasts on Apple, Spotify, and Amazon Music. It makes for great listening!
EVENTS
December 8, 2024: THIS WILL BE THE NEXT SCHEDULED “SPECIAL MMA OPTIONS WEBINAR” with Derek Panaia, hosted by Raymond Merriman. It will also take place on Sunday of our next three-star critical reversal date (CRD) zone (Dec. 6-9). See Announcements above for details.
March 7-9, 2025: Cosmic Patterns Inc. presents its Convergence 2025 conference in Orlando, Florida. This will be one of the top astrological conferences of 2025 and will include a track on “Research and Financial Markets.” MMA market analysts Ray Merriman, Gianni Di Poce, Pouyan Zolfagharnia, Ulric Aspegrén, and Wiebke Held will speak, along with well-known financial astrologer Christeen Skinner of the U.K. There will also be several other well-known professional astrologers speaking, including Lynn Bell, Charlotte Benson, Öner Döşer, Pam Gallagher, Demetra George, Aleksandar Imsiragic, Dr. Lea Imsiragic, Rick Levine, Darri Low Murphy, Anne Ortelee, Joni Patry, Kathy Rose, Gisele Terry, and Fei Cochrane. For further information, please go to https://cosmicpatternsconference.com/. You can also hear and read about this exciting gathering on YouTube (click here). SIGN UP NOW for the best rate before the next cutoff date.
September 10-15, 2025: THE MMA ANNUAL INVESTMENT RETREAT! The location is to be determined, but we are considering Costa Rica and Panama as leading possibilities. For now, just SAVE THE DATE as you make your travel plans for next year.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose: The purpose of this column is not to forecast the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language. This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will often cite what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures may affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from the perspective of a cycles analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world. It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand the psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and their potential effect on financial markets.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers of this column assume any responsibility whatsoever for anyone’s trading or investment decisions. Readers of this report should understand that commodity futures and options trading are considered high-risk.