Forecast 2021 Scorecard- As of July 21, 2021
August 01, 2021
Every year gets better and better with our forecasts. Although 2021 is not yet over, several forecasts made in the 2021 book have already unfolded. We will list a few of the forecasts below as of July 21. Keep in mind these forecasts were written in October-November 2020, and published December 2020, well before 2021 got underway.
ECONOMIC AND MARKET FORECASTS FOR 2021 (made prior to December 1, 2020)The U.S. Stock Market and DJIA: “… There are reasons to support a continuation of the bull market off the lows of March 2020… The next sign of potential trouble for the bull market in the U.S. stock market will happen if and when the DJIA takes out support at 25,000–26,000. Until then, our advice for investors is to stay with bullish strategies. That is, buy corrective declines (even if sharp) into the 50-week and 16.5-month cycle lows due in 2021. But as long as the DJIA does not fall below 25,000–26,000, it is probably a buying opportunity.” The DJIA never traded that low. Instead, it continued to rally and as of this writing, it has made a new all-time high 35,631 as of August 16, just four days before the August 20 critical reversal date listed in the book. The S&P and NASDAQ have continued making new all-time highs on September 3 and 7 respective, right on the September 3-6 critical reversal date listed.